The Escalation Trap works like this: pic.twitter.com/AeJwoYzkEO
— Robert A. Pape (@ProfessorPape) March 15, 2026
I don't see the connection he's making with past wars BUT I DO agree with his premise. So what is the "escalation trap" here? I believe its the same as we found in Iraq and Afghanistan. We can win the battles, but controlling the populations while fighting a counter insurgency is the main risk I think.Most wars escalate beyond what leaders intend.
— Robert A. Pape (@ProfessorPape) March 13, 2026
I study this dynamic — the Escalation Trap.
The Iran war is now showing the same strategic patterns seen in Vietnam and Kosovo.
I write short strategic briefings explaining what to watch next.
Subscribe:
https://t.co/JdhoWKJ5P0 pic.twitter.com/kOijVQFtpI















