How could we say that?
Because they are giving out there playbook that's how!
Think about it.
*The raid on Bin Laden's compound...
1. We have a pretty good idea of their numbers.
2. We have a pretty good idea of their back up force.
3. We know how they inserted into the objective.
4. We have a pretty good idea of how they assaulted the objective.
5. We know the weapons employed.
6. We're aware that they have canines during some of these missions.
7. We have a pretty good idea of when they assaulted the compound.
If that's not enough we also have info on how they performed the assault on the pirates in Africa.
1. We know the insertion method was different...by parachute.
2. We have an idea of the number of operators involved (similar to the Bin Laden raid).
3. We're aware of their extraction method (similar to the Bin Laden raid...unsure if they used V-22's instead of Blackhawks)
4. We have an idea of the weapons they used.
Long story short we have the makings of a Special Ops playbook. Courtesy of someone talking too much. A grunt in the Marine Corps with just a little awareness could plan a defense with this type knowledge. A little better intel and he could form a credible defense that would at the very least seriously bloody the assault force.
Our quiet professionals need to get quiet again.
If they don't I fear that one of the good guys is gonna get hurt.
PS.
While they're at it they might also want to remove the 'extras' from their gear...via KitUp!
Not shown: a new maritime helmet for SEAL Team Six. It’s lightweight and provides protection from shrapnel but not ballistic protection. That’s well and good if the operators desire it, but I did have to roll my eyes at one thing. Inside the helmet are pictures of cartoon pin-up girls. Apparently they had also requested “morale” elements in their order. I never thought I’d say this, but if DOD is cutting their budget, maybe ST6 needs a line item audit. There are soldiers carrying shot out M4′s, so maybe the “morale” money can be best spent elsewhere
Sure if you were reasonably certain an attack/raid is coming in at a specific spot the defender can gain a significant advantage. Normally, however, there are many vulnerable targets, they can't all be defended vigilantly all the time, and most organizations really aren't professional enough to be bothered.
ReplyDeleteMoreover, if a location is seen as being heavily defended it's a big intelligence tip off and while the raid might be seen as too risky it's now a prime target for an air strike.
The attacker always has the advantage in choosing when, where, and how to strike. The defender needs to guess well what's coming and be very patient to set a proper ambush. According to public information the recent raid went up against 8 stoned kidnapper guards which is not atypical.
Well trained aware troops have always been a problem for special forces. They're not there to go up against significant numbers and fight conventionally. There are a lot potential arrows in the quiver besides special forces and the other guy massing his forces is often a great target.
i was talking about killing a HVT or rescuing hostages.
ReplyDeleteagainst that type of target you can't lob a cruise missile into the compound (at least if you want to be sure of a kill with the HVT or obviously you'd kill your hostage)...
additionally, Rangers attack in company sized formations and they're special ops so the size of the force isn't necessarily the key issue on whether or not you're fighting conventionally.
SEALs have engaged enemy forces in platoon strength. so now do you get my point. not every body is going to be stupid enough to smoke hash on guard duty. not everyone is going to go below 50% alert during times of darkness...someone is going to figure out to place mines or claymores or both around likely avenues of approach. someone is going to figure out ways to defeat this stuff.
thats all i'm saying and you know it to be true.
A buddy of mine and I where talking about how SOCOM seems to be hell benmt recently to feed the media/propaganda machine. Maybee they are looking to split up from their services and become their own branch. Back in the day you never heard of the Ops they pulled off. Everything was hush hush.
ReplyDelete