The above photos are Patriot Missile Batteries in Japan. But on the Korean Peninsula, its all quiet.
Many experts are predicting that the N. Koreans will launch on Monday in conjunction with a birthday celebration for the former leaders.
I disagree. I expect the Chinese to have applied so much pressure that the N. Koreans WILL NOT launch. I expect the rhetoric on both sides to fade over the course of next week and for everyone to go back to their sides of the ring without mention from the news media of what exactly happened.
Why do I say this? Because the Obama Administration has a serious love of backroom deals. Both on the domestic and international realms. With that in mind, N. Korea probably got their usual tribute of food aid. The only difference is that this administration is hiding the fact and might use China as a conduit for that aid...you know going through China and then to N. Korea instead of directly to that jacked up country.
The problem for the US and its people is this. N. Korea proved to the world that they could back us down. They smell pussy. And that means we're eventually gonna get fucked.
The NorKs damn sure know as do the Chinese how long it takes to get set up for a show and where Fort Greely is.
ReplyDeleteThe NorKs could do an Amphibious raid ops across Alaska via sub or trawler landing covertly and take that Missile base down. Just as the Taliban/AlQ did to that Marine Air Base.
If these clowns shoot a missile I will be surprised.
whoa. now that would be interesting. launch that kind of raid. declare it a limited action. make sure that they limit casualties to mostly servicemen and law enforcement and the world wouldn't give a damn. that's evil thinking but i like it.
DeleteNot give a damn???
DeleteLet's see:
1. Attacking a sovereign nation whom you are not at war with.
2. Attacking an installation that poses no offensive threat to you.
3. The only outcome and potential purpose is to allow the attacking nation to use it's nukes against the same soverign and not-at-war nation.
All that without international uproar and immediate reprisal?
That sounds legit ;)
why not? they sank a S. Korean warship without reprisal and we're the ones that encouraged restraint. they shelled soveriegn S. Korean territory, an island, destroying several buildings, killing Marines and civilians and we encouraged restraint.
Deleteadditionally there was no outcry from the international community, no protest and the only people complaining were conservatives in the US.
so yeah. it sounds totally plausible...and legit.
The Warship incident would be considered a cross-border, regional incident with two parties that are still technically at war.
DeleteThis is completely different from attacking a target on another continent.
its even worse than the standard tribute of food aid. ala big puss from way back Kerry
ReplyDeletehttp://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/14/world/asia/kerry-in-china-seeking-help-on-north-korea.html?partner=MYWAY&ei=5065&_r=1&
brilliant smart power move. give away a purley defensive system for what sometime before the next demand of tribute.
Friggin' Kerry. Managed to go from just the Norks screwing us to both the Norks and ChiComs. What a worthless commie boy toy he is.
DeleteIn a news conference, Mr. Kerry suggested that the United States could remove some newly enhanced missile defenses in the region, though he did not specify which ones. Any eventual cutback would address Chinese concerns about the buildup of American weapons systems in the region.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/14/world/asia/kerry-in-china-seeking-help-on-north-korea.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1&ei=5065&partner=MYWAY
Guys,
Deletewe don't need to have our AEGIS/Standard missiles on watch.
Both Japan and South Korea have AEGIS equipped ships and they can take over the NORK missile picket duties. In addition to this, both Japan and ROK could have land-based standard missiles as well.
We get to tell the Chinese and NORKs that we will withdraw ship (which can always be sent back into the region) if NORK disarms.
We appear to be reasonable, the Chinese can go to the NORKs and say, "the US is offering this....behave or we'll cut off your food, you insolent dicks"
and if buying of NORK with grain shipments prevents a war that could easily cost thousands of lives and trillions of dollars (the impact on the world economy if ROK, Japan and China get drawn into it), then grain is cheap.
It's a realistic, pragmatic de-escalation.
Do Japanese and ROK units have the right AEGIS software ane missiles to do the mission?
DeleteActually the SM-3 was co developed with us and Japan and they produce it there as well. It's fully operational on their ships. Far as I know South Korea's Aegis ships can track ballistic missiles but don't operate SM-3 but might operate the SM-2 IVA which can intercept theater missiles but I believe they only have the regular block IV's. They can certainly upgrade them if/when they feel the need.
ReplyDelete