Sunday, October 27, 2013

Japan takes leadership role against Chinese aggression.


via IDRW.org
Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe says other countries want Japan to adopt a more assertive leadership role in Asia to counter the growing power of China.Mr Abe told the Wall Street Journal there were “concerns that China was trying to change the status quo by force, rather than by the rule of law”.
Relations between China and Japan have been strained over recent years.China said on Saturday that if Japan shot down Chinese drones, this would be considered “an act of war” by Beijing.
The statement was referring to reports that Mr Abe had approved defence plans that envisaged using air force planes to shoot down unmanned Chinese aircraft in Japanese airspace.
Another contentious issue between the two countries is the dispute over a group of islands.
The islands, in the East China Sea, are controlled by Tokyo, but claimed by Beijing.
But analysts say the nations’ rivalry reflects the power shift created by China’s meteoric economic and diplomatic rise while Japan has been mired in a two-decade economic slump.
China has warned against Japanese nationalism in a region where Japan’s colonial expansionism is still bitterly remembered.
‘Act of war’
In the interview, Mr Abe said he had realised that “Japan is expected to exert leadership not just on the economic front, but also in the field of security in the Asia-Pacific”.
He promised policies to counter Japan’s waning influence.
Other countries wanted Japan to stand up to China, Mr Abe said without naming any.
“There are concerns that China is attempting to change the status quo by force, rather than by rule of law. But if China opts to take that path, then it won’t be able to emerge peacefully,” Mr Abe says.
“So it shouldn’t take that path, and many nations expect Japan to strongly express that view. And they hope that as a result, China will take responsible action in the international community.”
The interview comes days after Mr Abe was reported to approved defence plans to intercept and shoot down foreign unmanned aircraft that ignore warnings to leave Japanese airspace.
Leadership 101.  You can't lead from behind.  If their is a vacuum then someone will step in and do what must be done.

You can talk Pacific tilt.

You can put together a poorly fleshed out Air/Sea Battle doctrine.

You can talk "partnerships"...but when nations are looking for leadership and if the US isn't providing it then others will.

Japan is.

Read the entire article here, and drink in exactly what the Japanese Prime Minister is saying.  It boils down to this.  China is a threat, they've been bullying their neighbors, countries want someone to take the lead to stand up to them, the US is weak or at best poorly led ---so the task falls to them.

It won't work because of age old rivalries but since the US is missing in action, someone's got to be the adult.  Thank God for the Japanese.

5 comments :

  1. Good thing Japan' population is rapidly aging and shrinking :)

    Can't field a military with number like this: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-24614830

    http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/01/30/japan-population-crisis-shrink-one-third_n_1241350.html

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'm afraid that I have some shocking news for you sir:

      ...ON JANUARY 18th the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) announced that the number of working-age Chinese shrank last year by a total of 3.45m. In the slow-moving world of demography, that is a big turning point. The mobilisation of Chinese labour over the past 35 years has shaken the world. Never before has the global economy benefited from such an addition of extra human exertion. Now the additions are over—and not just in China...

      http://www.economist.com/news/china/21570750-first-two-articles-about-impact-chinas-one-child-policy-we-look-shrinking

      ...With around a quarter of its population older than 60, Japan has rightly earned its rep for having the worst demographic crises in the world. But just to its north, there’s one that threatens to be just as nasty. Or even nastier—in fact, by 2045, the average age of the South Korean population will be 50, the highest in the world...

      http://qz.com/76423/an-elderly-crisis-and-a-youth-crisis-south-koreas-got-it-all/

      ...While projections into the future of Russia are very difficult, it's estimated that Russia will fall from the 9th most populous country to 17th by 2050. Russian Prime Minister Vladmir Putin has announced that he plans to boost Russia's dwindling population by encouraging immigration and higher birth rates, but estimates show that Russia's population will drop from 2013's 143 million to only 107 million by 2050.
      Population growth and demographics have long been a problem for Russia, as a decade ago the nation was losing 1 million people a year, and many doubt Putin's plans will work. Time will tell if Russia is able to overcome its issues and see greater growth, as otherwise it will be prone to collapsing infrastructure with its massive land area and untapped natural resources...

      http://worldpopulationreview.com/russia-population-2013/

      ...While attending the inauguration ceremony of the first minister of the newly established ROC Ministry of Health and Welfare, President Ma Ying-jeou remarked that by the year 2025, Taiwan will have become a superaged society, with people 65 years or older making up 20 percent of its population. For this reason, he said, long-term care for the elderly and related social welfare programs must become an essential aspect of Taiwan’s social security system.

      The president stressed that due to the concurrent trends of decreasing birth rate and increasing average age of the population, Taiwan is aging at a pace faster than those of Japan, the United States, France and other advanced countries. This poses challenges more daunting than those confronting other nations...

      http://www.taiwantoday.tw/ct.asp?xItem=208835&ctNode=426

      ...SEOUL—North Korea is getting bigger, older and less healthy, according to data from the country's latest census, and its fabled million-man army might have fewer than 700,000 people...

      http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052748703791504575078821926146904

      A good thing? For who? The chinese? The south koreans? The russians? The taiwanese? Maybe the north koreans? it seems to me like the entire region have a demograpic problem. Is not like we japanese enjoy having company in this boat, that is folish, but I think that maybe you "can't see the forest for the trees".

      Delete
  2. Japan recently nationalized the Senkaku/Diayou islands which, although they are claimed by China, and are adjacent to China, including Taiwan, they were awarded unjustly to Japan after WWII. PM Abe is a trouble-maker on dangerous ground since China is militarily much stronger than Japan. Abe is counting on US help if he foments some military action, but he may be shorted on that.

    Japan has no friends in its neighborhood -- they remember.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "...Japan recently nationalized the Senkaku/Diayou islands which, although they are claimed by China, and are adjacent to China, including Taiwan, they were awarded unjustly to Japan after WWII..."

      They can take their case to the International Court of Justice like civilized people.

      "...PM Abe is a trouble-maker on dangerous ground since China is militarily much stronger than Japan..."

      I disagree.

      "...The People's Daily said in the simulation, the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force called the result "inspiring" as it defeated two fleets of China's People's Liberation Army with "slight loss."..."

      http://www.upiasia.com/Top-News/2012/10/30/China-dismisses-Japans-war-game-claim/UPI-20441351576055/

      "...Fisher shared his views, “If the battle is focused around the vicinity of the Senkaku Islands, I believe JSDF will have the advantage. The JSDF members are far more professional, and their level of readiness is superior to that of Chinese military members. The key in this battle will be the Japanese submarines. Japan has the best conventional submarines in the world, and will be able wipe out the Chinese submarines at a stroke.”

      Meanwhile, there are still concerns about air combat due to the fact that Chinese has Naval Air Fleet while JMSDF does not. Fisher continued, “Although it may seem disadvantageous, JMSDF can respond with aegis ships. Furthermore, there’s a 3000 meter runway on Shimoji Island. If JASDF could dispatch F-15′s and F-2′s from there, it would actually be advantageous to Japan.”

      http://jsw.newpacificinstitute.org/?p=10584

      IN FOCUS: Chinese air force not yet a match for Japan's By: GREG WALDRON SINGAPORE 02:00 25 Jan 2013

      http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/in-focus-chinese-air-force-not-yet-a-match-for-japans-381453/

      "...Abe is counting on US help if he foments some military action, but he may be shorted on that..."

      Aside of provide support like Intel and ammunitions to us japanese, the US can sit and watch how the professional, all volunteer MSDF armed with high-quality weapons sunk two-thirds of the unexperienced, filled with conscripts PLAN armed with low-quality weapons and commanded by corrupt officers selected more for their political loyalty to the party than for their martial skill.

      "Japan has no friends in its neighborhood -- they remember..."

      Even if they hate us if they are attacked we will help them at the risk of our own lives, is atonement so we are not expecting any thanks or forgiveness.

      "...There has been much speculation over the years about whether Tokyo would intervene if the PLA ever invaded Taiwan. Reports in 2007 alleged that Japanese and U.S. officials, alarmed by growing Chinese might, were considering a plan to coordinate their actions under such a contingency, with Japan providing rear-area support for U.S. forces as stipulated under the Guidelines for Japan-U.S. Defense Cooperation. It is no coincidence that the efforts in 2007 also occurred when Abe, who is regarded as pro-Taiwan, was in power..."

      http://thediplomat.com/flashpoints-blog/2013/01/09/japan-explores-war-scenarios-with-china/

      "...Japan must obtain Seoul’s consent to exercise the right to collective self-defense in an emergency on the Korean Peninsula, a South Korean government official said. This was the stance made clear by South Korean officials, led by Korean National Security Office chief Kim Jang-soo, in a meeting in the United States with U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and U.S. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel. The South Korean side said that lifting Japan’s self-imposed ban on the right to collective self-defense “is an issue the Japanese citizens should decide.”..."

      http://japandailypress.com/south-korea-japan-must-ask-for-permission-to-exercise-collective-self-defense-on-korean-peninsula-2838604/

      Surprisingly, they don't said that they rather die than accept our help.

      Delete
  3. The real question is if the nations of Southeast Asia are willing to put aside their differences with Japan should China decide to go ape shit on them. My guess is that they will.

    ReplyDelete

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.