Monday, October 27, 2014

Geopolitics.by....the blog.

I posted yesterday that the war in Ukraine was about to heat up.  Well this is the source of that information and I invite you to check it out.  Its called "geopolitics.by" and its makes some pretty chilling statements about the war.

I don't know if its Russian, Ukrainian or Ethiopian (well I'm pretty sure its not the latter but you get the idea).  Before you head over there check out this passage from them...
But Europeans never occurs to blame Kiev. To blame for the events of Donbass, the EU Council has identified in advance - it's "aggressive" Russia, which can not stop after the "annexation" of the Crimea.
In fact, the fate of the inhabitants of Europe Donbass care. The really only care about her Russian gas supplies.
According to the results of the summit talks in Milan ("Free Press" about them wrote ), Moscow and Kiev have agreed on the terms of gas supply in winter. As explained by the head of "Gazprom" Alexey Miller , Ukraine every month will make a prepayment for the current delivery. Russia will supply its gas at a price of $ 385 per thousand cubic meters ($ 100 discount from the current price). In addition, until the end of 2014 Kiev must pay off the debt - 3.1 billion. Dollars.
But there is no money in Kiev - not to pay for current supplies or to repay debt. Logically, if the Europeans do not want to freeze, they could lend his Ukrainian protege. This is in the correct form, said Russian President Vladimir Putin on the results of the Milan meeting. "We hope that our European partners, the Commission can and should lean on Ukraine and help solve the problem with the cash gap" - said Putin, proposed a "specific tools": bridge loans, "the transfer of the next tranche of the IMF" or "guarantees a first-class European the bank. "
But Europeans no safeguards or about credits Kiev do not want to hear. They believe that Russia is obliged to deliver gas to Ukraine in debt - in other words, free.
Meanwhile, on Tuesday, 21 October, the head of the Ukrainian state Poroshenko ordered the start of the heating season across the country already this week. Actually gave "good" on the fence gas from the transit pipeline. This creates the risk that Russia will block any gas valve.
What does such a prospect for the EU, if the frost will make our European partners more objective assessments of the situation in the East of Ukraine?
Everything I read about this conflict always comes back to two issues.

*  Natural Gas
*  Ukraine being broke

From the outside looking in it appears that Europe is faced with a no win situation.  They either have to take responsibility for Ukraine, pay its debts and integrate it into the EU...something that would be extremely expensive and ruin relations with Russia not to mention what that would do the Ukrainian people...prices would skyrocket, they would have to make painful reforms to their entire society....or they finally shut up, sit down and let events play out as they may.

Oh an I say Europe for one simple reason.

I have yet to hear anyone make a case for how this is a US issue.  UN?  Maybe but lets be honest.  This is a European problem that deserves a European solution.