PLA amphib exercises. CCTV7, Junshi Baodao, 2Jan

"Most of the armada would be civilian ships". You do realize that means that we'll have even less of a reaction time if the Chinese do it right don't you? Unless we have max coverage of their ports that means that Marine/Army vehicles could be loaded far from Taiwan and simply hover (I guess what I mean to say is sail in circles) until called into action without us even noticing.

PLA amphib exercises. CCTV7, Junshi Baodao, 2Jan. As I noted in my recent Insider piece, a Chinese lunge across the Taiwan Strait would involve a very wide variety of vessels and light craft. I expect most of the armada would be comprised of civilian vessels. pic.twitter.com/zCyC0CscdQ

— Lyle Goldstein (@lylegoldstein) January 4, 2022