We live in dangerous times. We are seeing outright censorship of news on the war in Ukraine and most are cheering...

We are living in dangerous times.

In case you haven't noticed we're witnessing warfare occuring right in front of our faces and we only see one side of it.

We have all kinds of people keeping track of Russian losses but none on the Ukrainian side.

We see some Twitter accounts giving a running account of Russian dead but none on the Ukrainian side.

I wonder why Ukraine even needs our help when the common meme is that they're winning this thing easily.

But what's more worrying is that not only are citizens not questioning ANYTHING (what did the Romans say...give the mob bread and circuses) but we see an almost coordinated effort by the news media and govt to continue in this model too.

My guess.

The Pentagon and the rest of NATO is at war with Russia. I find it extremely difficult to believe that they could have stood up to this onslaught without outside help BEYOND simple intel and targeting.

I'm borderline convinced that NATO is probably right on the edge of ACTIVE kinetic participation.  I could be wrong but it looks like it to me.

Have a care though.

The battle of Mariupol was gonna be nasty before.  Its gonna be downright horrific now.

I have no visibility about what is going on over there because I'm living in the same information vacuum as the rest of you, but I would not be surprised to see the whole character of the war change in the next week (I'm guessing after Easter will see things ramp up tremendously).

Artillery and missile attacks will look more like what was expected at the beginning of this thing.

Note.  I am not advocating for Russia or blaming Ukraine.  I'm calling things as I see them and trying to predict where this will go with LIMITED visibility on this conflict.

One thing is certain.  Open source has effectively become nullified.  At best its only able to keep score of equipment and personnel losses (assuming its on the side of the nation not being supported).

I don't want war with China but I'm curious to see how the news media handles it.  Corporate America responded in unison against Russia.  Will they against China?  How far will obedience to nation state passions run when the opponent has financial power that rivals our own and in some cases touches on the industries tasked with covering them.