via Military Times Early Bird Brief
Russians push to encircle Ukrainian troops, Pentagon says
(Washington Post) Russia could soon make a direct assault on Severodonetsk, one of the largest eastern cities still under Ukrainian control.
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Ukrainian volunteer fighters in the east feel abandoned
(Washington Post) In a rare interview, a Ukrainian military commander and his top lieutenant describe disillusionment, deprivations and a sense of certain death among their troops on the front lines in Donbas
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Russia captures Lyman – separatists
(Al Jazeera) Pro-Russian Separatist forces claim they have taken full control of the strategic town of Lyman in northeastern Donbas, with Ukrainian officials saying the unverified capture underscores Russia’s ‘growing’ tactical strength.
Things aren't looking quite so bright for Zelensky. No wonder the Pentagon is trying to give away HIMARs to the Ukrainians.
One thing I've noticed.
The Russians are finally engaging with combined arms instead of the helter skelter type fight they started with.
Additionally I heard that the ratio of attacker to defender is now in some places up to 7 attackers to 1 defender...and that's after intense artillery bombardment.
My prediction.
The Russians just have to continue the fight till the beginning of August and then things will turn in a serious way in their favor. The alliance will shatter due to domestic concerns.
I do have one concern.
What will the Biden do if the Russians start winning, the economy continues to crumble and Americans start to see empty grocery stores?
Yeah. They could reach for the rally round the flag moment and get our troops directly engaged in the fight in Ukraine.
The terrible thing?
Europe will most likely be in the same bucket so they'll happily tag along (god knows the idiot running the UK will...talk about a European Neo-Con!).
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