Thursday, March 30, 2023

Studying Ukraine war, China's military minds fret over US missiles, Starlink

 via Reuters

China needs the capability to shoot down low-earth-orbit Starlink satellites and defend tanks and helicopters against shoulder-fired Javelin missiles, according to Chinese military researchers who are studying Russia's struggles in Ukraine in planning for possible conflict with U.S.-led forces in Asia.

*I thought the Pacific was a region where tanks wouldn't matter (even though we have our own WW2 experience that indicates otherwise), but its telling that China is worried about our anti-tank missiles against their armored force. 

"The excellent performance of 'Starlink' satellites in this Russian-Ukrainian conflict will certainly prompt the U.S. and Western countries to use 'Starlink' extensively" in possible hostilities in Asia, said a September article co-written by researchers at the Army Engineering University of the PLA.

The authors deemed it "urgent" for China - which aims to develop its own similar satellite network – to find ways to shoot down or disable Starlink. SpaceX did not respond to a request for comment.

&

 U.S. Central Intelligence Agency Director William Burns has said that Xi has ordered his military to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027, while noting that the Chinese leader was probably unsettled by Russia's experience in Ukraine.

*The US won't be ready for war with China by 2027.  The best the current force can hope for in my estimation is a stalemate

One article, published in October by two researchers at the PLA's National Defence University, analysed the effect of U.S. deliveries of high-mobility artillery rocket systems (HIMARS) to Ukraine, and whether China's military should be concerned.

"If HIMARS dares to intervene in Taiwan in the future, what was once known as an 'explosion-causing tool' will suffer another fate in front of different opponents," it concluded.

The article highlighted China's own advanced rocket system, supported by reconnaissance drones, and noted that Ukraine's success with HIMARS had relied on U.S. sharing of target information and intelligence via Starlink.

*This is interesting.  If this is indeed the case then Starlink is golden and everyone should be buying stock.  If they've been used as a communications hub then that indicates they've morphed beyond a commercial tool into a quasi civilian/military construct.  Elon Musk could easily morph into one of those future corporate heads with his own Army that could challenge many nation states...IF HE WANTED TO! 

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