Friday, June 23, 2023

Did the Ukrainians just declare this counter offensive a failure?

Thanks to Duke 7 for the link! This tweet sounds like an admission of defeat but there is so much more. I detect a jab at the Leopard 2 MBT. Stating that they can get American Abrams indicates to me that they believe that its armored protection will be key to breaking thru Russian defenses. But the biggest takeaway is that this war will continue. The ability to develop enough combat power to breach is not present (and I don't think will be in the future). We're looking at a stalemate. Hopefully with this realization we can finally start talking ceasefire and then a peace agreement. Unfortunately the push to add Ukraine to NATO will bring all kinds of unforeseen dangers. In the past the mutual defense charter meant something but even if peace were declared with Ukraine joining NATO, I consider them too much of a wild card. My fear is that when admitted to NATO they're likely to conduct a false flag operation to plunge the alliance into a direct conflict with Russia.

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