Friday, October 27, 2023

Don't know if this is a planted story but its seems Hamas planned the attack, not the aftermath...

Nothing kills morale faster than heavy artillery. You can fight other men charging your position but you can't fight an artillery strike. All you can do is endure. Even worse? You can have radar or spotters/spies at the airfields to tell you when an airstrike might be coming and steel yourself to it. An artillery strike? It comes outta nowhere and many times you can only hug the ground.

I said all of that to explain why the morale might be low among Hamas fighters.

For all the rocket attacks its weak sauce (well in general, its big bad if its coming thru YOUR roof) compared to the type and number of munitions Israel is expending.

I think Hamas MUST have not expected to be as successful as they were during their attack.  Additionally I think that they believed that they would be protected from retaliation by (1) the short history of the Biden admin and (2) the fellow Arab nations.

If the attack wasn't as successful as it was they'd probably be right but I'm sure any and all concerned have seen pics that they won't release to the public (especially the US...the anti-Muslim sentiment that many have would boil over big time).

One thing Hamas has in their favor and no, its not Iran.  Its the focus of the Biden admin.  They don't want two wars going at the same time and they desperately want to salvage the peace deal.

The Ukraine war is baked in and they don't want to get re-involved in the Middle East.

They make money with Zelensky.  Only suffering comes with a war in the Middle East.

I don't expect this to go long (couple of weeks max) before the international community and the US say enough punishment and everyone uses the Gaza civilians as their fig leaf to hide behind to end hostilities.

Hamas has unleashed hell though.  I expect Mossad to find their balls and start going after their leadership no matter where they hide.

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