Wednesday, December 27, 2023

Is the IDF running this op or is it Netanyahu?

Who is running this thing? The IDF or Netanyahu? The IDF seems to be pushing beyond its limits and I can't lie. I worry about their reserve stregnth. They have to have enough forces left to deal with the unexpected. A full blown fight with Hamas. Or Iranian militias. Or even attacks from Iran proper. Once forces are engaged its hard to pull them out of a fight and get them into a different one. My support remains. I'm just wondering what intel has them opening multiple fronts on this thing. The Biden admin is fully vested in the Ukrainian fight, now we have this one, China's President told Biden he will retake Taiwan and I'm looking at an American empire with FAR TOO MANY COMMITMENTS and despite being the best funded force on the planet not being equipped to handle multiple flashpoints at the same time.

Why say all that?

Nightmare scenario.

Next spring we see a renewed Russian offensive in Ukraine, a massing of forces on the border with Israel while at the same time we're looking at Chinese forces gathering to attack Taiwan.

Do you think we're postured to handle all that?

Let me add to that mix.  Do you think our defense industry is ready to handle the supply of munitions or to get gear ready to get into the fight if the fight lasts more than a month?

The solution is simple.  Europe has to take on the Ukraine mess solo.  Full stop.  There shit they fix it.  Then it becomes a choice between Taiwan and Israel.  Which one dies and which one do we choose to support?

Why so dramatic?

In that scenario I just don't think we could plausibly aid both.


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