Dude posted this on the blog so I feel free to post it for everyone to see instead of it being buried. I think he brought up some very valid points about the current linkage between Russia and China.
Quite honestly I think the Biden Admin in their arrogance and lack of forethought set the stage for the lineups in the next major war.
via my reader.
Its in China's interest to give the Russians the upper hand, how much of an upper hand is debatable, I think they hope the Russians achieve total victory (as the latest US rant about Chinese providing satellite intel shows).
Most of the blame lies on western leadership. Prior to the war Russia was economically linked to the west, Russians generally liked the west due to common history, also Russia was strategically positioned to choke Chinese access to central asia, has a shitload of resources, has a lot of street cred with nations like India and Vietnam, and has even if kind of shitty, a large pacific fleet with some decent boomers. As Mearsheimer always argued, it was a primordial concern for the west, mainly the US, to bury the hatchet with the Ruskies and work to contain China. It was a very doable endeavour.
Now, 2024, Russian economy is very much linked to China (with nowhere to run), Russians are quite likely very resentful of us westerners (would love some S300V 4 update about it) due to all the moronic hate across europe in early 2022, plus a lot Russian libs fled Russia around that time. Russia still has a shitload of resources which they can sell via land routes to China, land routes we cant interdict, they still have a lot of street cred which will be used against us, and they still have a large fleet with some decent boomers that will either remain neutral or join the chinks. As I always say, I hope the mighty latvian and polish fleets decide to save the day because the campaign difficulty went from moderate to ultra hard.
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