Friday, August 26, 2022

Apparently Ukrainian and Russian Marines are engaged in fights over Snake Island!

If this is true then this is a fight worth watching. I would imagine its just a series of raids being conducted by both sides. Additionally I imagine that outposts are being setup and then expelled by the other side and so on and so forth.

Again.

If this is true.

Then its a goofy fight.

Why send a Marine (on either side) to do what a drone can? If the enemy sets up then bombard them with rockets and artillery.  Setup a IR Mast to keep track of things.  Why waste people on this stupid piece of rock.
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German power prices are spiking like crazy. European pain is just beginning....

Wow. That line practically goes straight up! Germans are about to feel pain. When Germany hurts the rest of the EU is in a pit of suffering!
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Soldiers of the Amphibious Corps "Amf 4" of the Swedish Navy

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The new Marine Corps. Everything else is just support!

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Drone dropped grenade

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Have you been keeping up with the reactor story in Ukraine?

Have you been keeping up with the reactor story in Ukraine?

I have an absolutely nothing makes sense about it.

The Russians have captured it but for some reason still power the Ukrainian side.  Additionally we had reports (that I didn't post because it looked like propaganda) that the Russians had wired the thing with explosives and were gonna blow it up.

As far as the Ukrainians go (and feel free to correct me if I'm wrong) they're shelling the fuck outta the place and having a good time while doing it!

This is not an ordinary war.

The Russians keep supplying power to their enemy.  The Ukrainians cry about Russians blowing up the place yet shell it on a daily.

I don't get it but it is the way it is.

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Thursday, August 25, 2022

US Dept Of Defense is going to give the assistance/training operation a "name" and pick a General Officer to lead it. We're tiptoeing to war!

So how will this go? European Assurance to Operation Democracy and finally (when we put boots on the ground early next year when Ukrainian positions get overran) Operation Restore Hope? Kidding but NOT kidding (hope you got the Star Wars reference)!
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Defense Priorities.Org's take on deterring Chinese action against Taiwan

 via DP

KEY POINTS

  1. 1. The U.S. has a goal to avoid a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, but the overriding U.S. interest is to avoid a ruinous war with China. The imperative to avoid a conflict with China should take priority for U.S. leaders.

  2. 2. Proposals to deter China by bolstering U.S. military deployments in the Western Pacific are unlikely to succeed and fraught with danger. China has advantages in terms of geographical proximity to Taiwan and superior commitment to resolving the issue on favorable terms. The United States should not commit to fighting a great-power war at a time of China’s choosing.

  3. 3. The Taiwanese obviously have the strongest interest in deterring a Chinese invasion of their island. Regional powers such as Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, and Australia have the next-strongest interests in preserving stability in East Asia. These actors should do the heavy lifting in deterring China.

  4. 4. The U.S. should encourage Taiwan and other regional actors to develop their own means of deterring a Chinese invasion. Working with others, Taiwan has the capacity to inflict severe costs upon Beijing in the event of an armed attack. If calibrated correctly, Taiwan and others might convince Beijing that the various costs of invasion—economic sanctions, opprobrium, military balancing—outweigh the benefits and thus deter China from invading.

  5. 5. America’s role should be to support Taiwanese-led efforts to deter China while working to convince all sides that the status quo is sustainable and the U.S. remains committed to its longstanding One China policy. This is the best chance of preventing a war in the Taiwan Strait.

This is a very interesting read. Not sure if I agree with all of it but it is NEW thinking and not the standard drivel we're seeing out of the DoD. Article here.
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Another delegation is enroute to Taiwan in a military plane...WTF is going on over there?

Let me get this straight. Pelosi went to Taiwan and China went batshit crazy and started massive military exercises. In the middle of that we got warnings that China could attack Taiwan sooner than 2030. Another delegation went and now we have a third? Wonder what info we're not getting. This could be considered to be provocative. I'm sure the Chinese see it that way but they still keep going. 

Has intel indicated that the threat of invasion is bigger than we thought and this is a show of political unity in the US over the Taiwan issue?
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US forces under the operational control of a foreign govt during war?

Why not admit that the S. Koreans are more than capable of defending themselves now? Did you know that S. Korean citizens recently held a large protest against US forces in their country? Policy makers and the elite might want our forces there but apparently the S. Korean people don't.
   
I don't know the situation on the ground but we've seen the same thing in S. Korea and Japan and the Philippines.

Forward presence is not the answer that many defense experts think it is.  We need a return to rapid deployment forces.  Frontier outposts didn't work for the Romans and won't work for us.

But back on task.

If we are assisting nations in their defense.  If we're assuming that we're there to defend democracy then why would we allow our forces to be under the operational control of those nations?

I understand that "trip wire" forces are all the rage but by setting up command structures in this way we're almost guaranteeing that American forces will be sacrificed to ensure that the full weight of US firepower is rushed forward to fight.
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