Friday, September 02, 2022

Late Open Comment Post. 2 Sept 22

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Putin Brings China and India to Russia for War Games Defying US

 Note.  This is a nightmare scenario from my most fevered dreams. If Russia can unite India and China into a cooperation block that covers military and economic affairs then we're screwed.  Remember too that we've been trying to woo India for awhile and they continue to play the middle ground.  Their participation in this exercise with China(who they've had hostilities with) is chilling.

via Bloomberg

Russia is holding major military exercises involving China and India as President Vladimir Putin pushes back against attempts by the US and its allies to isolate him over his invasion of Ukraine.


More than 50,000 troops and 5,000 pieces of military equipment, including more than 140 aircraft and 60 warships, are due to take part in the week-long Vostok-2022 war games that start Thursday in Russia’s far east, including naval drills in the Sea of Japan. 


The regular exercises bring together member states and partners of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization of former Soviet republics.

Story here 

Also remember that the US has been trying desperately to get India to go along with the sanctions against Russia.

India politely told us to "fuck off".

I don't know the history of the Brits in India but apparently they'll never trust the Western block...or rather they'll never play our game with us.

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Finish Armed Forces conduct vehicles ops course sponsored by Patria...

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Russia gets hardcore with energy and the German left is about to take the high prices to the streets...

First we have this news. Quite honestly I expected this as soon as the sanctions were put in place but for some reason Putin didn't pull the trigger. His decisions with regard to this whole affair will make for some fascinating reading in the future. The West used its full economic strength against him. He did not return the favor. I'm guessing that he was expecting this to be a small blip and that after all the dust settled he would finally be welcomed by European nations (not to include the Eastern Europeans or the US). I think he's finally come around to the idea that their is a cabal of people that will only see Russians as enemies (I'll never understand that ... in my perfect world after the fall of the USSR we would have welcomed them into our sphere and geared up to fight China....imagine combining US and Russia tech...from space to defense we would be colonizing the moon and probably flying mach 5 regularly!).

Next up is the German left.  They ain't happy and they'll find many surprising allies I think!

Deny it all you want folks but winter is gonna be a dicey time for many European countries. Between this and add to it the action against farmers in the EU sphere...from Spain to the Netherlands and you have a brewing powder keg. 

I won't even touch on what's happening in the US. We have a President that is basically calling for a civil war. 

We truly live in interesting times. God help us and my our heirs learn from our current clusterfucks!
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Thursday, September 01, 2022

The Fighting Spirit; 3D Marine Division 80th Anniversary Teaser

The 3rd Marine Division celebrates its 80th Anniversary Sept. 16, 2022. The 3d Marine Division continues to build on its fighting spirit as a critical part of the stand-in force within the first island chain of the Indo-Pacific. (U.S. Marine Corps multimedia by Staff Sgt. Albert J. Carls)

I think that this video ... especially the caption is what annoys me so much about Force Design 2030.

They attempt to link the Marine Corps of the past with this concept.

They're totally different.  

They have nothing in common.

Its a construct that is unrecognizable to most.

Even senior officers have a hard time explaining it without getting into Pentagon-ese and trying their best to sound professorial (if you're an officer and you're explaining a concept and its sounds like you're briefing the commanding general instead of your Marines then you're FUCKED from the start!). 

The concept sucks donkey balls.

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Ukraine is on the offensive.

So Ukraine is on the offensive.

I find it curious and I'm wondering why they launched their assault now instead of waiting till they built up combat power.

They appear confident but I'll be watching for a few things.

*  Will we see proper combined arms action by the Ukrainians?
*  Offensive warfare is much harder than defensive. Will they be able to sustain their assault?
*  What role will air power play?  They've been able to reconstitute their ground forces (to a certain degree) but what about offensive air support?

My belief?

They're trying to shape the battlefield before winter...before their European allies feel the bite of cold, suffer even more from inflation/high fuel prices and finally the long talked about food shortages arrive.

Supporting a cause when you see no cost to that support is one thing...when you have to bear the brunt of that support is another.

I don't think all the chicken hawks screaming for war will be so hawkish when they start paying a price.
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Images of Portugal's first Embraer C-390 Millennium have been released by the manufacturer

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The Pope sees WW3 starting...

This dude has been unbelievably liberal in his viewpoints and I personally believe he's made some horrible mistakes (not to offend Catholics...just calling it like I see it), but this time he might be onto something. Things are just off globally and stuff that would be solved quickly and simply in the past seems to be zooming out of control.
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Brits birth the 1st Deep Recce Strike Brigade Combat Team. WTF is deep recce strike? Sound like an air force mission!

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Air Force sees ‘incredibly’ large missile buildup by China

 via Washington Times

“This expansion accelerated in the 2000s: between 2000 and 2010, the 2nd Artillery stood up as many as 11 new brigades equipped with its growing array of weapons, including its first ground-launched cruise missile, the CJ-10, and its first self-contained road-mobile ICBM, the DF-31, as well as the DF-21D anti-ship ballistic missile,” the report said.

The speed of the missile buildup intensified between 2010 and 2020 with the addition of 13 new brigades along with the longer-range and multi-warhead DF-41 road-mobile intercontinental ballistic missile; the dual nuclear-conventional DF-26 intermediate-range ballistic missiles; and deployment of the world’s first hypersonic missile, the DF-17.

&

“Incredibly, between 2017 and late 2019 the PLARF added at least ten new missile brigades,” the report said. “This unprecedented expansion from 29 to 39 brigades represents a more than 33% increase in size in only three years.”

&

China‘s conventional missile strength is estimated to be more than 2,200 ballistic and cruise missiles, considered the largest missile force in the world. More than 1,000 missiles are deployed within range of Taiwan, a key target of Chinese military strategy.

Story here 

I highlighted that last part for a reason.

Consider this.

What if the Chinese decided to aim for a decapitation strike on Taiwan?

What if they decided to launch all 1,000 of those missiles aimed at Taiwan toward political and military leadership of that island before even launching their assault?

I keep saying it, but experts for some reason tend to disagree.

We cannot adequately defend Taiwan without placing US troops, aircraft and ships on the island.

Sadly, all they would serve is to ensure that we actually fight...and even with that it might be a Guadalcanal 2.0.

At the end of the day Taiwan will be China's.  It's inevitable...I just don't see how we can stop it.


NOTE!  It just occurred to me.  We COULD try launching an insurgency and/or planning for one.  It would take Special Forces to get fully back into that type of game though.  It would take planning ultra secret cache sites for their use and to have deep cover operatives on the island at the first hint of Chinese intentions to attack.  That along with perhaps the idea of unrestricted attacks against merchant ships is the only viable way.  I don't think the citizens of the West would be happy losing their trinkets from China though.

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