Wednesday, September 21, 2022

I believe we're headed toward a time of max danger in the Ukraine/Russia war...

Wow.

He did it.  Putin is mobilizing forces.

He made the statement that no option is off the table to defend Russian soil.

A referendum is being called for in the occupied areas.

This is big time dangerous from my chair.  You have two competing visions.  The Russians view parts of Ukraine as there own. The Ukrainians the opposite.

Nukes are on the table, but so are egos.

It should be interesting.  The only good thing is that if things go sideways we should be able to contain the use of nuclear weapons on the European continent.

I don't say that lightly either.

Depending on the actions of the Ukrainians/West and Russia we could see this thing either blow up big or blow up in a contained fashion.

We might be in a place where use of nuclear weapons solely on the tactical level will be seen as a win by both sides.

Tuesday, September 20, 2022

How could Berger make a push for FD2030 if he didn't have the key piece in place?

 via USNI News.

The Marine Corps and Navy remain at an impasse over the future of the Light Amphibious Warship, as skepticism about the program’s viability mounts due to the internal division, sources familiar with the program have told USNI News.


While the Marines remain committed to their plan for nearly three-dozen beachable ships that can ferry units between islands and shorelines in the Pacific, the Navy wants fewer. Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Mike Gilday’s 2022 navigation plan, unveiled in late July, calls for 18 LAWs.


“It’s obviously a big battle within the Marine Corps on where the Marine Corps’s headed and whether the Navy really supports LAW or not,” said one person familiar with the discussions on LAW.


But as recently as last week, the Marine Corps said it wants as many as 35 LAWs to achieve its vision for operations in the Indo-Pacific, which would include smaller units moving between islands and setting up ad-hoc bases from where they could fire anti-ship missiles off of the chassis of a Joint Light Tactical Vehicle.

Here 

Ignore the debate over the numbers (although that is fascinating), and ignore the fact that the VERY VIABILITY of this program going forward is in doubt (the Navy is focused on its surface warfare fleet...I imagine the thought is that amphibious forces are well taken care of with current procurement).

I want to focus on how FD2030 came to be.

How it was planned.

What decisions were made and how much risk was assumed.

EVEN IF YOU MAKE THE CASE THAT FD2030 IS ESSENTIAL.  EVEN IF YOU STATE THAT THE COMMANDANT DID THE RIGHT THING IN PUSHING IT!

How do you explain him making such a seismic shift in Marine Corps culture if he didn't have this part of the plan laid out in stone?

I've talked about what it takes to be a "change agent". I've talked about how you MUST get institutional buy in and how you have to have the end state of your change fully envisioned.

It appears that Berger didn't.

Now?

Now he faced with a huge problem.  No doubt they'll be able to round up surrogate ships but the platform needed to make his dream reality is probably beyond his reach.

I don't quite know what his vision actually is.  I don't think anyone outside of his inner circle really understands this monstrosity (God knows they have trouble enough trying to explain it).

One thing is certain.

The Marine Corps has once again decided to submit itself to  Navy control (while ignoring the needs of Combatant Commanders that might require Marine Corps units...guess they have to request a Naval Task Force now) and the Navy just tossed out the reason why that MIGHT have made sense.

I called it.  Force Design 2030 accomplished one thing.  Making the Marine Corps the Navy's bitch once again.

The Moog Reconfigurable Integrated-weapons Platform recently performed in a successful live fire event at Putlos Bundeswehr range in Schleswig-Holstein, Germany

Army Chief Of Staff briefing slide on "lessons learned" in Ukraine War..

Did you catch the end of the slide? Information Operations are highlighted as an institutional lesson. 

PsyOps conducted on the US/Western populations is going to be a big part of future warfare. 

Yeah I know. 

Always has been. 

But in the past it wasn't subtle. It was plain as day and the country knew it. Remember the show "The Big Army" or something like that where an Army Master Sergeant narrated whatever news the Army wanted out in the wild? I'd respect that more than a continuation of big social media partnering with the govt to push an agenda and squash dissenting opinion. It's 2022, not 1942. The internet should have changed everything.

1st Bn., 7th Marines conducts battalion field exercise

Quick question. Why does everyone think that the US benefits from the war in Ukraine?

 I posted about German producer price inflation roaring to 45.8%.

Two readers, one I assume from Russia and another from Germany ...mind you these two NEVER agree on anything, but on this they both agreed that the US benefits from this depressing news for the German consumer.

To be more precise, the Russian said that "the USA won this one" and the German said "good for the US of A"!

How in the hell are people seeing this as a USA win!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?