Friday, October 21, 2022

I told you Russia was targeting energy....now Europe is facing a crisis

Europe's interconnected grid will soon suffer from these attacks. Additionally you can expect the Republicans to put an embargo on US oil/gas and keep in country.

The result?

Europe is gonna have a tough Winter.  I thought the alliance would crack because of the cost of keeping Ukraine running (and its rebuild).

I did not see the results of energy disruption hitting this hard.  Plus we have to remember....

WINTER IS COMING! 

Thursday, October 20, 2022

10th Marine Regiment, 2d Marine Division, practice artillery raids while being transported by US Army CH-47F Chinook during Exercise Rolling Thunder at Ft. Bragg, North Carolina

 

Marine Medium Tiltrotor Squadron 265 & 3d Battalion, 3d Marines conduct helo assault exercise...


I know some purist complain about the "Army-ing" up of Marine Corps language so I ask. Is "helo assault" or "air assault" the proper term for what they called waaay back in the day, VERTICAL ENVELOPMENT! 
If the Marine Corps is on the mission to get lighter then why are the packs as big as ever? Are they still working on making things a bit lighter?

3d Battalion, 3d Marines, 3d Marine Division, conduct a live-fire unknown distance range during Resolute Dragon 22 on Kamifurano Maneuver Area, Hokkaido, Japan

The Brits are actually all aboard on getting Boris back!

 

China could invade Taiwan before 2024?

 via Financial Times

The head of the US Navy has warned that the American military must be prepared for the possibility of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan before 2024, as Washington grows increasingly alarmed about the threat to the island.


Admiral Mike Gilday, chief of naval operations, said the US had to consider that China could take action against Taiwan much sooner than even the more pessimistic warnings.


The debate in the US about when China might invade Taiwan has intensified since Admiral Philip Davidson, then-head of Indo-Pacific Command, told Congress last year that the Chinese military could take action against Taiwan before 2027. Davidson’s warning was partly downplayed at the time, but officials have intensified their warnings over the past year.


“When we talk about the 2027 window, in my mind that has to be a 2022 window or potentially a 2023 window,” Gilday told the Atlantic Council on Wednesday. “I don’t mean at all to be alarmist . . . it’s just that we can’t wish that away.”

Here 

Weird.

We've been getting a slow drumbeat of China being the pacing threat.

We've had the Commandant basically say that he doesn't give a fuck about the rest of the world, he's totally focused on China.

We got reports that the US military is in decline.

We've seen (my opinion) the weakening of the US military due to social issues.

Now we have an updated timetable.

It's one of two things.

1.  The intel is indicating the updated timetable and they're prepping the public for war with China.

Or....

2.  It's a play to increase the defense budget in a time of societal upheaval due to a number of reasons and the public's desire to take care of home first.

Don't know.

Pass the popcorn.  The 2020's are sucking donkey dick.


Ukrainian Attack Helicopter Pilots are taking low level flight seriously!

Your primer on the proper mindset...

 

Truss is out as Prime Minister of the UK...

ANOTHER ONE BITES THE DUST!


The Navy, Marine Corps & Office Of The SecDef continue to quarrel over the number of amphibious ships

via USNI News

The policy statement also took aim at bill language that would set a minimum requirement for 31 amphibious ships for the Navy – in line with what the U.S. Marine Corps has said it needs to execute their emerging Force Design 2030 island hopping campaign and perform crisis response missions.


“Requiring the Department to maintain a minimum inventory of major platforms would limit the Secretary of Defense’s ability to optimize future force structure, increase the long-term cost of sustaining the force, and further delay necessary efforts to keep pace with the challenge posed by the People’s Republic of China in key warfighting areas,” according to the memo.


The rift between the Navy, Marines and the Office of the Secretary of Defense over amphibious shipping manifested during budget testimony. Congress ultimately sided with Marine Corps Commandant Gen. David Berger.


Berger also used his unfunded budget priorities list to keep the San Antonio-class (LPD-17) amphibious warship line alive, with an ask for $250 million in advanced procurement funding for LPD-33. The Senate in the policy bill authorized the funding, which the White House also opposes.


“The Administration urges Congress not to add Advanced Procurement funding to Landing, Platform, Dock (LPD)-33. The Department remains focused on investing in the right mix of capabilities, including future amphibious platforms, to deliver the ships the Joint Force needs to campaign in the Indo-Pacific region and implement the 2022 NDS,” reads the memo.

Here 

Many things about Force Design 2030 puzzle me.

For example.

The Commandant wants to use the well decks on amphibious ships for everything BUT getting Ground Force Element gear ashore.  

Is it any wonder that the Navy looks at that and says, ok, you want a light amphibious ship, aren't gonna use Gators to get forces ashore anymore so why not decommission some?

If the New Marine Corps is all about the sea battle then doesn't it make sense for the Navy to prioritize ships that directly participate in it?

I'm evolving on the concept. 

I can see a few more good elements of it.

The problem is that the approach being taken is from my chair half hearted.  If its about the sea battle (and every indication points to that), then the Marine Corps needs to change even more than it already is doing.

To be blunt?

The ACV needs to go away.  The AH-1Z and the UH-1Y need to go away.  Cannon artillery needs to go too. Infantry battalions? For what reason? A force that relies totally on stealth is still going to maintain the ability to seize ground?  Seriously? The New Marines aren't capable of that.  Perhaps a raid so we can cut them too.

CB90's, a few ROGUE Fire vehicles and enough infantry to pull security and you can call it a day.

SOCOM will be on the islands and the Army is taking the playbook and will be able to land MANY more missile to conduct strikes than the USMC so its no longer a unique function.

MARSOC, SEALs, Rangers and Special Forces will be acting as shore watchers...so what's the "new mission" that will ensure the Marine Corps survival?

Things are a mess and this ship numbers issue is just the latest canary in the coal mine.