Monday, August 13, 2012
H-8 Stealth Bomber. The next shoe to drop from China.
I had fun with a series of posts on a Chinese strike on an American Carrier Battle Group.
A light Google search reveals the next shoe to drop from Chinese design bureaus will be a stealth bomber---the H-8.
Several Chinese language blogs are talking about it and it just plain makes sense. A glaring hole in Chinese force projection is the lack of a bomber with hemispheric reach.
A nation that is putting up a space station, has designed its own stealth fighter/striker and is producing 4.5 gen fighters surely is capable of producing a modern bomber...at least equal to the B-1.
Yet we still haven't seen it.
And that's why I predict the next shoe to drop from the land of the Dragon will be a stealth bomber.
Imagine designing a defense for a carrier when they have several regiments of homegrown stealth bombers to throw into the mix.
SOCOM in Afghanistan. We're doing it wrong.
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Green Berets in Afghanistan via NATGEO. |
We're doing it wrong.
More specifically, SOCOM is doing it wrong. They're about to have free reign (again) to operate the way that they want to and while they have conventional forces in country providing support (and will once they become lead force again) they're concentrating on raids, raids and more raids.
This might be a cultural issue, since the Commanding Officer is a Navy SEAL.
It might be part of an actual plan.
But from the outside looking in at SOCOM, it really appears like this should be a US Army Special Forces show. I mean seriously. THINK ABOUT IT!
AQ is done in country. The only enemy that remains is the Taliban. This is a classic Foreign Internal Defense Mission.
Everything else we're doing is not going to work until the politics of the simmering civil war is solved.
Rights for women? Not gonna happen until they solve their issues.
Educating girls? Same.
Religious freedom? Ditto.
Reconstruction of the country? You're kidding me right?
Only the Green Berets are culturally equipped to deal with Afghanistan. US Marines, US Army and allied forces are not the forces to lead this fight. Unfortunately the bureaucracy has settled in and thinking about winning the fight has taken a backseat to running a war.
Afghanistan is a Green Beret fight. It probably always has been, but now it should be obvious to all. Last week we had 10 US service men killed about our supposed allies. Its past time to accept the reality of this situation.
To solve Afghanistan you assign a Special Forces Group to the country and get everyone (including other SOCOM units) out of their way. Then you do yearly assessments of progress made. After 10 years at war, giving SF two more might not seem fair but when you consider the treasure expended in this effort its more than the Afghan people deserve. If SF can't turn it around in that time frame then its a done deal. That's how you solve Afghanistan.
Fixing the fleet. USS America class should be the next carrier.
Embarrassing.
During the aftermath of the earthquakes in Haiti, the US Navy rushed an aircraft carrier with a skeleton crew on board to provide assistance. It had no manpower to search for survivors or provide assistance. It didn't have helicopters to move supplies ashore. It was a case of image over substance.
All this leads to the situation the Navy finds itself in today. Too few aircraft, too much ocean and not enough ships to go around.
The solution is simple. Fix the Navy by adding an angled flight deck to the America class LHD and get numbers, reinvigorate rotary winged aviation in Navy use and get almost 40 F-35C's (or F/A-18's) on board. Oh and be advised. We've done this before. We did the same thing to straight decked aircraft carriers after World War 2 and we were served well by the modifications.
Putting angled flight decks on the America class would be the first step to the Navy buying Ford's not Ferrari's. We should start the planning today.
UPDATE:
A world war 2 aircraft carrier was under 30,000 tons in wieght and carried 100 aircraft. When they were refitted witth hurricane bows and angled flight decks they still came in under 50,000 tons and operated primitve jet aircraft...meaning weak engines and avionics.
We can make a 40,000 ton carrier with an angled flight deck out of the America class and still operate 50 aircraft. If we take the space used for Marines and equipment then its beyond doable, its easy! It can be done today, all it takes is the will.
During the aftermath of the earthquakes in Haiti, the US Navy rushed an aircraft carrier with a skeleton crew on board to provide assistance. It had no manpower to search for survivors or provide assistance. It didn't have helicopters to move supplies ashore. It was a case of image over substance.
All this leads to the situation the Navy finds itself in today. Too few aircraft, too much ocean and not enough ships to go around.
The solution is simple. Fix the Navy by adding an angled flight deck to the America class LHD and get numbers, reinvigorate rotary winged aviation in Navy use and get almost 40 F-35C's (or F/A-18's) on board. Oh and be advised. We've done this before. We did the same thing to straight decked aircraft carriers after World War 2 and we were served well by the modifications.
Putting angled flight decks on the America class would be the first step to the Navy buying Ford's not Ferrari's. We should start the planning today.
UPDATE:
A world war 2 aircraft carrier was under 30,000 tons in wieght and carried 100 aircraft. When they were refitted witth hurricane bows and angled flight decks they still came in under 50,000 tons and operated primitve jet aircraft...meaning weak engines and avionics.
We can make a 40,000 ton carrier with an angled flight deck out of the America class and still operate 50 aircraft. If we take the space used for Marines and equipment then its beyond doable, its easy! It can be done today, all it takes is the will.
Sunday, August 12, 2012
Where are the pics?
Just a bit of blog promotion here.
If you're into military photos without all the glaring watermarks that some blogs paste onto their photos (even though a military journalist took them and only request that they be given credit) then look at my bar at the top of the page. You'll see a label called SLIDESHOW. Click on it and it'll take you to my collection. Enjoy.
Political Animals...Quote of the week.
Mythical Secretary of State....Who's above your President?Mythical Chinese Diplomat.....Naval Intelligence!
This is about the most self important bullshit I've ever seen on US politics. If it even has a whiff of truth about it then we'd be better off being
The word Amazing is just not strong enough.
KMW has updated the website.
KMW has done a real neat and attractive update to their their website. If you have any interest in armor its well worth a look see.
When does the cost of sinking an aircraft carrier become too high?
Was talking with a reader and this question came up.
How much did the Chinese lose in my mythical war?
Easy...
*A couple of regiments of SU-27 type fighters....
*Around 30 J-10's...
*A regiment of TU-22M Backfire bombers...
*A squadron of Fast Attack Missile boats....
*A squadron of Diesel Subs....
Another statement was made that "hey, its ok, even if they sunk our carrier we still win"...they have to rebuild all those planes and ships and retrain aircrew lost.
Uh....we lost a carrier. We lost aviation mechanics, air crew, nuclear propulsion experts, and sailors that know there stuff....in addition to a small nations worth of aircraft.
And that's the real point. We can't afford to lose a carrier. Yeah we have more but that isn't the point. Every aircraft carrier represents a tremendous amount of national treasure....in people and equipment that just can't be reformed in less than a couple of years at best.
While we're focusing on littoral combat, every other navy in the world is concentrating on two things. Power Projection in the form of amphibious assault ships and multi-mission frigates. The reason is simple. The amphib can perform many of the missions of the carrier without the danger of "placing all our eggs in one high tech basket" and the multi-mission frigate can perform many of the rest without the tremendous cost of a carrier.
As the carrier is currently equipped it is incapable of properly influencing a battle at sea. While the Navy is seeking a UAV to attack targets on land, it relies on a short ranged missile (Harpoon) to attack other ships at sea.
Put another way. If the Marine Corps could be accused of becoming a second land army then the Navy could be accused of becoming an air force.
This isn't a slam at the carrier navy. Its just an observation that we have inflated the value of carriers to such an extent that the costs to destroy one pale in comparison to the need to keep one afloat. Additionally the mission set of the carrier has become so focused on influencing the land battle that naval warfare has become a secondary consideration.
Required reading. Buy Fords not Ferraris.
Its time to bite the bullet and consider downsizing carriers. A fleet of 20-25 fifty/forty thousand ton carriers might be more useful than what we have right now.
Saturday, August 11, 2012
End of watch.
This looks like it might be good! I think I'll plop down cash to watch this when it hits!
Carrier Navy. Fixing the fleet. Reformatting the DDG-1000.
I love the Marine Corps.
I believe in forcible entry.
I think naval gunfire is important. But. And here comes the sacrilege. I don't think we need a cruiser that is committed to providing those fires.
The USMC provides one of our three forms of forcible entry but it has evolved to a point where another Tarawa or Iwo Jima shouldn't happen. With the guns on the Burke's, with the airpower from our carriers and LHA's and with the ability to go over or around beach based obstacles we shouldn't dedicate a large ship to this function.
The Zumwalt class should be reformatted as the replacements for the anti-air cruisers that are soon to be retired. Considering the magazine capacity that these ships have we would have an amazingly capable anti-air arsenal ship that could cripple a strike on our carriers. By having these ships at the center of our formations along with our carriers and pushing the Burke's out to picket duty we could easily handle any Chinese Alpha stike with ship based assets alone.
There would be no need to rush fighters into the air to reinforce the CAP. Those fighters that we do have in the air can focus on killing the launch aircraft instead of attempting to knock down missiles heading toward our ships.
This one move could accomplish...
1. It would provide a platform that would have instant influence on enemy actions causing them to rethink any current plans on how to destroy a carrier battle group.
2. It would provide a platform that would have the power generation necessary for the next step in naval firepower...lasers or another form of electronic attack.
3. It would be a better test bed for reduced manning and automation of the fleet.
4. It could provide a strategic strike asset if the follow on to Tomahawk has the range desired by the CNO.
If we want to fix the fleet we need to get back to winning at sea. Winning the blue water battle. A DDG-1000 reformatted as an anti-air cruiser would be a smart move.
I believe in forcible entry.
I think naval gunfire is important. But. And here comes the sacrilege. I don't think we need a cruiser that is committed to providing those fires.
The USMC provides one of our three forms of forcible entry but it has evolved to a point where another Tarawa or Iwo Jima shouldn't happen. With the guns on the Burke's, with the airpower from our carriers and LHA's and with the ability to go over or around beach based obstacles we shouldn't dedicate a large ship to this function.
The Zumwalt class should be reformatted as the replacements for the anti-air cruisers that are soon to be retired. Considering the magazine capacity that these ships have we would have an amazingly capable anti-air arsenal ship that could cripple a strike on our carriers. By having these ships at the center of our formations along with our carriers and pushing the Burke's out to picket duty we could easily handle any Chinese Alpha stike with ship based assets alone.
There would be no need to rush fighters into the air to reinforce the CAP. Those fighters that we do have in the air can focus on killing the launch aircraft instead of attempting to knock down missiles heading toward our ships.
This one move could accomplish...
1. It would provide a platform that would have instant influence on enemy actions causing them to rethink any current plans on how to destroy a carrier battle group.
2. It would provide a platform that would have the power generation necessary for the next step in naval firepower...lasers or another form of electronic attack.
3. It would be a better test bed for reduced manning and automation of the fleet.
4. It could provide a strategic strike asset if the follow on to Tomahawk has the range desired by the CNO.
If we want to fix the fleet we need to get back to winning at sea. Winning the blue water battle. A DDG-1000 reformatted as an anti-air cruiser would be a smart move.
Carrier Navy. Fixing the fleet...first...lets dump the LCS!
The LCS.
We have to look back a bit on this one.
The US Navy has suffered probably more than any service during this war on terror. Not from a deployment stand point (they've been as busy as ever), not from a personnel standpoint but from a "reason for being" standpoint.
The US Army and Marine Corps has been busy on land fighting our nations battles. The USAF has been in the air supporting those efforts...The Navy has been looking for a role. While looking for relevance during the past decade they lost sight of their reason for being...that is they forgot that the primary mission is to defeat our nations enemies at sea.
The LCS is suppose to fight the at sea version of counter insurgency.
It sounds good in theory...especially when you had Bush Administration officials talking about generational warfare. That theory gave way to a savage fact. Counter insurgency/nation building didn't work on land and its doubtful that it could work at sea.
Luckily for the US Navy, the situation off the coast of Africa provided a test bed for the sea borne version of counter insurgency with a mix of pirate and terrorist activity. Even without the LCS the tools were plentiful, the will to use them to effect lacking.
This all leads to my belief that the LCS is a ship without a mission.
In my scenario where the Carrier Battle Group was under attack, the LCS could play no role. At best it could steam to the scene and pick up survivors. That's all it could contribute.
And now the US Navy is about to build around 55 of these ships! Ships that add nothing to the Navy's combat power, can only show the flag and specialize in a mission set that has been abandoned. The Navy should dump this puppy today and focus on winning the nation's wars at sea. This should be fix number one.
Next. Fixing the airwing.
Our Afghan Allies killed 3 MORE NATO Troops.
Geez.
How many of our guys have to get shot, blown up and killed/injured in that God forsaken country?
Fuck Afghanistan.
Check this out from CNN.
If its starting to blur together, the timeline goes like this.
FUCK AFGHANISTAN. Time to go.
How many of our guys have to get shot, blown up and killed/injured in that God forsaken country?
Fuck Afghanistan.
Check this out from CNN.
Kabul, Afghanistan (CNN) -- A man in civilian clothing opened fire on a base shared with Afghan forces, killing three NATO troops, a spokesman for the International Security Assistance Force said Saturday.Yeah.
Soldiers detained the gunman shortly after the shooting Friday night, said Maj. Martyn Crighton of the ISAF Joint Command.ISAF believes the accused gunman was a civilian employee on the base, though the shooting is still under investigation, he said.The international coalition did not release the nationalities of the soldiers and details about the shooting, including the location.It was the second shooting Friday targeting NATO troops in Afghanistan.
If its starting to blur together, the timeline goes like this.
A Command SGTMajor and the people with him were killed in a suicide bombing early this week. Then you had 3 SOCOM personnel lured to a lunch and shot dead...and now you have the shooting on a base.
I'm being profane and redundant.
UTAS Shotgun. Its real and for sale!
When I first saw this shotgun all I could say to myself was "hmm pretty good for vaporware...we'll never see it for sale."
I was wrong. Last night while I was surfing the web trying to find good prices on a thousand rounds of 9mm ammo (Lucky Gunner still has the best prices), I happened across the Atlantic Firearms website and what did I see? The UTAS Shotgun for $1200.00! Amazing!
Friday, August 10, 2012
Blast from the past. Ithacus VTVL SSTO Troop Carrier (1966)
Meet the original Starship Trooper Concept. The Ithacus Troop Carrier!
What's interesting and slightly amusing are the concept photos that show it being deployed from an aircraft carrier! Why they would need to move an suborbital vehicle around by carrier is beyond me but I'm assuming it had to do with increasing time to target....either way though it would be one wild ride. Astronaut wings instead of jump wings would have to be issued. Info from Astronautix.
What's interesting and slightly amusing are the concept photos that show it being deployed from an aircraft carrier! Why they would need to move an suborbital vehicle around by carrier is beyond me but I'm assuming it had to do with increasing time to target....either way though it would be one wild ride. Astronaut wings instead of jump wings would have to be issued. Info from Astronautix.
American SSTO VTOVL orbital launch vehicle. An adaptation of Phillip Bono's enormous ROMBUS plug-nozzle semi-single-stage-orbit launch vehicle as a 1,200 soldier intercontinental troop transport!! The recoverable vehicle would re-enter, using its actively-cooled plug nozzle as a heat shield.
Douglas also proposed a military VTVL SSTO for transporting troops and cargo -- the "Ithacus." The Ithacus plan was apparently inspired by general Wallace M. Greene, who proposed a rapid-strike batallion of 1200 soldiers. These "rocket commandos" would have been deployed by an intercontinental rocket so the need for overseas US Army bases might be greatly reduced. The gigantic 6400-tonne "Ithacus Sr." was supposed to serve this strategic need.
The basic configuration was very similar to ROMBUS, i.e. eight hydrogen drop tanks + rocket-powered vertical landing using a plug-nozzle aerospike engine. The landed weight would have been about 500t. One of the biggest problem was returning the 64m tall vehicle back to the launch site… Self-ferry was out of the question since the rocket would have produced a liftoff thrust of 80200KN -- way too high without a custom-built launch pad with sound suppression, water cooling etc.. Shorter "hops" of a few hundred kilometers would however have been possible so the plan was to fly the partially fueled vehicle to a coastal harbor. Ithacus Sr. would be transported by a Saturn-type "crawler" onto a barge for return to the United States.
The smaller "Ithacus Jr." version would have had an intercontinental cargo capability of 33.5t or 260 soldiers. Douglas proposed to launch two Ithacus Jr. vehicles from an Enterprise-class nuclear aircraft carrier, which also would have produced liquid oxygen and hydrogen propellant from seawater. Power for the electrolysis process would have been taken from the carrier's nuclear reactor: 112MW would have been required to produce 1150t of oxygen and 164t of hydrogen from 1470t of water. The rocketships would be stored inside hangars. One Ithacus Jr. would serve as a troop carrier while the other would deploy unmanned cargo to the same military site. The Ithacus Jr. vehicles would land 600 meters apart to deploy a fully armed group of 260 soldiers.
LEO Payload: 450,000 kg (990,000 lb) to a 185 km orbit at 28.00 degrees.
AKA: Ithacus Senior.
Status: Study 1966.
Gross mass: 6,363,000 kg (14,028,000 lb).
Payload: 450,000 kg (990,000 lb).
Height: 64.00 m (209.00 ft).
Diameter: 24.00 m (78.00 ft).
Thrust: 80,230.00 kN (18,036,420 lbf).
Apogee: 185 km (114 mi).
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