via Wikipedia.
The normalcy bias, or normality bias, refers to a mental state people enter when facing a disaster. It causes people to underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations where people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a larger scale, the failure of governments to include the populace in its disaster preparations. The assumption that is made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a disaster never has occurred then it never will occur. It also results in the inability of people to cope with a disaster once it occurs. People with a normalcy bias have difficulties reacting to something they have not experienced before. People also tend to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible, seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation.[1]
Don't be a victim of this affliction.
Just because it hasn't happened doesn't mean that it can't. I received this comment and instead of getting angry, I'm amused. Check this out.
Most of the public wants more gun control, Solomon, so I guess by your (bullshit, btw) Obamacare rationale, Obama should give it to them...and the idea that a DHS purchase of .40 has anything to do with the current national gun-control frenzy is preposterous, take off your tinfoil hat and climb out of your backyard shelter, your blog is no longer a military blog its a doomsday preppers militia paranoid political fantasy
First. No people don't want more control. This is an article in Bloomberg written by Stephen Carter.
Go there to read it all but a tidbit...
After the horrific murders three weeks ago at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown,Connecticut, gun-control advocates confidently predicted that a wave of revulsion would sweep the nation. We would, in the popular argot, “hit the reset button,” beginning a fresh debate on new terms.t hasn’t happened that way. Consider a recent roundupof opinion surveys. In the USA Today-Gallup Poll taken just a week after the shooting, when one would expect the largest emotional effect, support for “more strict” gun control in the abstract was at 58 percent, compared with 43 percent about a year earlier. On specifics, 74 percent opposed a ban on private ownership of handguns, and 51 percent opposed a ban on private ownership of assault weapons. (There’smore support for posting armed guards in schools than for limiting access to assault weapons.)Sure, advocates can try to twist these polls into policy preferences. In truth, although the data reflect what might prove to be temporary majorities for such measures as banning magazines that hold more than 10 rounds, one searches in vain for a mandate in support of policies many gun-control advocates prefer. The urgency seems to have gone out of the argument. Even the news media seem to have grown bored by the whole thing.
So no. Despite an attempt at emotional manipulation, gun control is NOT the will of the people.
The next accusation was that this is no longer a military blog.
Nothing could be further from the truth. America's gun culture is part and parcel of its martial traditions. Advances in military arms is mixed with trends in civilian and law enforcement advances in the state of the art. Much to my disapproval you have the military doing 3 gun. That started in the civilian world. Race gunners have changed the way that the military trains and employs small arms.
That came from sports shooters. European and Asian armies are following suit. And they're all following sports shooters in the civilian world. Outside of Special Ops, civilian sports shooters are in many cases ahead of the conventional military.
Last he talks about tinfoil hat. I make no apologies. Talk to Numo and other readers in Southern Europe.
I pay attention to what they tell me.
We have a greater debt burden, unemployment that is approaching the same levels and no end in sight to the burden of this debt.
Additionally we have an administration that is ignoring the problem and the only piggy bank anyone can agree on is the US military.
In other words I can easily see the same rioting that is happening in Greece occurring in major cities here in the US if the fiscal crisis is misplayed by either side. If Iran goes silly and shuts down the straits then Europe and the US will be in a hurt locker. If the Syrian conflict spills over into Turkey or Israel then again, the Middle East is ablaze. In Asia, if Vietnam forces the issue and China is belligerent then we can see a naval battle that destabilizes the region. Same with the Philippines or Japan or S. Korea or Taiwan. That leaves out the natural disasters that can turn our world upside down.
In other words military affairs is expanding. If being a "prepper" is being aware of dangers then so be it. If wearing a tinfoil hat is looking around and seeing a dangerous world then I'm guilty.
But one thing I will never be accused of is NORMALCY BIAS.
ONE LAST THING: There just isn't much news coming on the defense front that is of interest. I can almost feel ever defense company holding its breath waiting to see how the fiscal cliff discussions play out. What should have been solved on the 1st of this month has now been pushed back by a couple so there is nothing going on but uncertainty. As a matter of fact the only thing that everyone is sure of is that defense will be cut, its just a matter of how much and whether the services will be able to slice enough personnel to pay for weapons or whether the Administration will FORCE them to keep people and delay needed modernization. If you haven't been paying attention then be advised. Former Senator and Army Veteran Hagel is a defense critic and his appointment indicates a tough time for the DoD. He's the budget cutter that Panetta was suppose to be. What you're likely to see is a repeat of Rumsfeld before the terrorist attacks but without the push for transformation. Remember Rumsfeld wanted a SMALL high tech military. Imagine the same but without the high tech. Cuts but no increase in capability...not even on a power point.