What happens when you're a cheerleader but things are going wrong with your team? You can do the "fan" thing and keep saying all is well even though they're obviously not (F-35 supporters)...or...you can bite the bullet and say shit is fucked up and its time to fish or cut bait.
Never in a million years would I have predicted that we would be where we're at with the AAV replacement. When the Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle was canceled, I was reassured by statements from HQMC that we would turn to and get another vehicle to the fleet quickly.
Hindsight is 20/20 and its now obvious we were fed a heaping dose of bullshit. So where does that leave us? Right now we're looking at upgrades to the AAV to begin sometime in the near future (or so we're told) and eventually a selection between four companies for a new, less capable ACV 1.1.
American Mercenary has a different idea...
The AAV is a good solution for getting lots of Marines to shore. It is not an optimal patrolling solution. The Stryker is a great patrolling solution (decent arms and armor, moves fast, very maneuverable). Add in very precise 120mm Mortar Fire and things get very interesting for maneuver commanders.
From my perspective this seems like a win/win for the USMC. The hulls are available, the capabilities of the LAV III family are well known inside the USMC, and there is massive interoperability with the US Army built into the supply chain.
Now, the cons of this solution, it will cost money in an era of diminishing budgets. It won't provide a "leap forward" level of capability for the USMC compared to some of the other (more expensive) options on the table. It may seem to some Marines that they are getting "the Army's scraps" instead of the latest and greatest (although those flat bottomed hulls are still newer than most HMMWVs the USMC has in the inventory).
Read the whole thing here.
Quite honestly, where before I might have automatically poo poo'ed the idea, now I'm not so sure. It will get us vehicles that we need now. Give us back the capability to transport 2 Marine Expeditionary Brigades in protected transport and not in MTVRs...and we could fall on the Army's supply chain.
As far as making them amphibious. Yeah. Sticking point. I would argue against doing that so we could get the vehicle we want in the future and not be stuck with interim becoming permanent.
All I know for sure is that less than 500 "modernized" AAVs will not cut it. The world is burning and we need vehicles now not later. Army Strykers might be the best we can hope for....at least for the moment.