Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Training at the SF Underwater Operations School




Everyone wants their "combat" scuba bubble, even though the salvage guys use it to do actual work about a million times more....I am really beginning to wonder about all these "insertion" methods (meaning badges/schools) and whether they're actually worth the squeeze.  On the other hand it is pretty cool.

About that "testing" of the F-35 on the USS Wasp...


I got off to a late start this morning and while going thru my e-mails I came across this note from Bryan...
This is fantastic. Six of these lawn darts on Wasp to do operational testing. Where are the rest of the aircraft that they will share the deck with? 2 x SH-60, 12 x MV-22, 4 x CH-53E, 7 x “skid kids”. Any operational testing is absolutely worthless without all the other aircraft to work around. They need to incorporate this thing into deck cycles and all the moving around involved.
False data is all they are developing in this “test”.
I think he's onto something.  Fact.  The USMC is declaring IOC this summer but the airplane is scheduled to do its first deployment in 2018...another 3 years from now...so ask yourself....why the rush to declare IOC now?

This is nothing but a choreographed publicity stunt to give supporters ammunition and an attempt to silence its critics. 

You can't ignore the obvious with the F-35.

It has destroyed the budget of the USMC, and several of our allies.  Dogged determination to complete a task or take an objective might be applauded...but as in every effort by man, there comes a time when its just better to walk away.

We passed that point with the F-35 years ago.

Sidenote:  American Mercenary has an interesting article up where he's covered the latest "moves" by the USAF, USN and USMC with regard to legacy aircraft.  Long story short?  They're behaving as if the "death spiral" is already here and that far fewer aircraft will be purchased based on the upgrades that are being made.  Read it here.

Monday, May 18, 2015

Marine Rotational Force – Darwin




An open letter to the Iraqi Army from Unprecedented Mediocrity Blog.

via UMB...
I used to feel good that America was so powerful that we could invade and sweep through Iraq twice, but now I realize you were just a whore for a good invasion and capitulation is kind of your thing. I feel so dirty and cheap.
Read it all here. 

6 F-35's head to sea for testing...

via Reuters.
WASHINGTON, May 18 (Reuters) - Six U.S. F-35B fighter jets built by Lockheed Martin Corp landed on the USS Wasp amphibious warship on Monday for two weeks of operational testing required before the Marine Corps can declare a first squadron of 10 F-35s ready for combat use in July, according to a U.S. defense official.
The testing, taking place off the coast of Virginia, will involve the six F-35 B-model jets, the highest number of F-35s ever used on a Navy warship to date, as well as Marine Corps pilots, maintenance personnel, and logistics experts, said the source, who was not authorized to speak publicly.
The tests will check the ability of the stealthy jets to integrate into flight and deck operations on board the ship. They will include operations and weapons loading at day and night, the jets' ability to coordinate digitally with an on-board logistics system call ALIS, and how well the crew can deal with scheduled and unexpected repairs at sea.
I wonder what lies we'll hear from this testing?

Ramadi falls. Our Counter Terrorism concept is failing...

via McClatchey.
The elite Golden Brigade, Iraq’s premier special forces unit, which had withdrawn to the “Stadium” neighborhood south of the city on Friday to await reinforcements and prepare a counterattack had also abandoned its positions and was retreating from the area under heavy attack by Islamic State forces, according to two officers within the unit reached by phone Sunday.
“Ramadi has fallen to Daash (ISIS),” one officer said. “There were many suicide bombers and many soldiers and officers are dead.”
Ramadi has fallen....The Iraqis were given a gift payed for in blood and they proved unworthy of it.

The "elite" Golden Brigade ran instead of standing to fight.

Isn't it obvious that all this feel good nonsense that the Pentagon has bought into isn't working?  Partnerships, Training missions, mastering the human terrain...none of it meets the test when its used in the real world.

Our counter terrorism concept is failing.



Read more here: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2015/05/17/266937/islamic-state-routs-last-elite.html#storylink=cpy

Sunday, May 17, 2015

Bad times for Marine Air.

pic via Army Complex Twitter page.

via Huffington Post.
One Marine was killed Sunday morning after a military aircraft reportedly went dbown at Bellows Air Force Station in Waimanalo, Hawaii, sending plumes of smoke in the air that could be seen for miles.
According to an official statement released by the Marine Corps, the Marine was killed when an MV-22 Osprey experienced a "hard-landing mishap"
This is turning out to be a very bad month for Marine Air and my heart goes out to the deceased Marine, his family and shipmates.

First the Huey crash in Nepal and now this.  But what should make everyone pause is the reality that instead of seeing the limitations on being totally reliant on air for amphibious assaults and raids, the Marine Corps is prepping to double down.

These two crashes happened in peacetime.

What happens during the next war against an enemy that has a networked anti-air defense?  HQMC is casually throwing out that the Marine Corps is prepared to launch from 65 or more miles out Company Landing Teams to help take down anti-ship missile complexes.

Has anyone asked the simple but powerful question...if they have anti-ship missiles that cause us to hover 65 or more miles offshore wouldn't they also have formidable air defenses?

The scenario where S-400's are shooting down MV-22's as they take off from the decks of our LHA's isn't outside the realm of possibilities.  It makes sense to assume operational risk, but your operating doctrine should be based on HOPE with a large dose of risk mixed in. 

Sidenote:  What is the ACTUAL accident rate for the MV-22.  Let's be honest.  Amos has been fudging the numbers on that bird since he was a colonel.  HQMC figures aren't to be trusted.  Does anyone know an aviation guy that is keeping up with this?

UPDATE:  Thanks to John Smith for finding me this link to G2mil Blog.  They have the most comprehensive coverage on V-22 incidents that I've seen.  

Sunday Discussion. Do we have to kill Marine Air to save the USMC?

Fact.  Marine Air has been the focus of budget activity for the past 20 years.  New helicopters (AH-1Z, UH-1Y), a new tiltrotor (MV-22), a new heavy lift helicopter (CH-53K in development) and the F-35 have dominated the budget.

A Marine Infantry Captain asked the Commandant this question....
Should the Corps' ground contingent, he asked, have a dedicated general officer as an advocate, the way the aviation combat element did?
The answer is obviously YES!  But onto the Sunday discussion.
Is it time to kill Marine Air to save the USMC?


Saturday, May 16, 2015

US Troops engaged in "hand to hand" combat in raid?

via The Daily Beast.
U.S. Special Operations Forces met resistance and had to fight “hand to hand” in Friday night’s raid in al-Amr in southeastern Syria that killed ISIS senior commander Abu Sayyaf, defense officials told The Daily Beast.
Troops from the U.S. Army's elite Delta Force flew into the scene in Ospreys and Black Hawk helicopters, landing near a multi-story building and meeting fierce resistance as they entered, the officials said. The troops engaged in close quarters combat with the target and his body guards, even trading blows “hand to hand” as they rushed the targets, two of the defense officials said.
Read it all here.

This raid...the very reason for being when it comes to SOCOM (and SOCOM just does raids these days...nothing else) devolves into being so hairy that they have to go hands on?  Really?  Seriously?  But wait...check this part out from the article....
There was some resistance from armed guards and from Abu Sayyaf himself, but the raiders were prepared for that, a third official told The Daily Beast.
“It was risky, but not high risk,” the official said. “This is what these guys do.”
I'm not saying they're lying about what happened with this raid but I am saying that it sounds....off.

Real off.

Think back to EVERY close combat course you've ever attended.  Think about EVERY piece of info you were given, every tactic you were taught, all the scenarios and role playing that you were drilled on.

Now multiply what average Joe Marine/Soldier got by about 25000 and think about what we're being told here.

Pentagon officials keep talking and they keep leaving themselves open to questions.  Its the OBL raid all over again.  The DoD needs to get on top of this because the percentage of this population with a little experience looks at this and wonder why we're being spoon fed.....weird info.

The USMC as we knew it is over. Call it the US Airpower Marines.



via Marine Corps Times (do me a favor and read the entire article here before you take in my ramblings).
Dunford cited a question he fielded from an infantry captain during a visit to the Expeditionary Warfare School in Quantico, Va. The officer wondered whether the cutting edge MV-22 Osprey and F-35B aviation platforms had drawn attention and resources away from the Marines' rifle squads and its larger ground combat element. Should the Corps' ground contingent, he asked, have a dedicated general officer as an advocate, the way the aviation combat element did?
This question should have had Dunford and the rest of HQMC on full alert.  A revolt (of sorts) is brewing in the Ground Combat Element of the Corps and this type of question is the canary in the coal mine.

This is the ominous part...the part that tells me that the Marine Corps we all know...the USMC that has won battles for over 200 years is about to be changed forever....
For the ground combat element, he said, that means finding ways to do more with the Corps' high-tech air platforms, and to innovate beyond traditional infantry assault methods. Dunford called on a favorite example of 21st Century MAGTF operations: February 21 of this year, when the Marines' crisis response unit in the Middle East found itself operating in six countries simultaneously, between rifle companies and air elements.
Want to hear a pile of steaming manure that will almost guarantee that body bags will be filled because of a failed concept?  Check this out....
Platforms like the F-35, expected to reach initial operating capability this summer, represent vast untapped potential for the ground combat arms units as well, Dunford said.
"We're nowhere near capable of fully realizing or leveraging the kinetic and non-kinetic capabilities of that particular aircraft," he said.
Uh excuse me Sir but are you fucking serious?

Never in the history of the Marine Corps has so much been bet on weapon system, air or ground.  Now we see the entire Marine Corps being turned upside down because of the purchase of two airplanes....the MV-22 and the F-35.

What do I expect with the announcement?

You're going to see the Air Wing plus sized.  They have no choice.  The F-35 and the MV-22 are both maintenance hogs.  I expect to see the MEU/Battalion Landing Team all but trashed.  The big decks aren't going to be able to carry enough MV-22's to transport a Battalion Landing Team so you can expect that they're gonna try and baffle us with bullshit about how effective the Company Landing Team is.  You can pretty much bet that Marine Armor is dead.  Have you noticed that the major ground vehicle being purchased is the ITV?  And finally you can expect much talk about how the ISR, non-kinetic advantage that the F-35 brings will make up for the loss in firepower (what remains to be seen is what happens to artillery...I expect it to also be cut).

I don't understand this new Marine Corps...and I don't think I want to...


NOTE:  If you've ever taken on college course on business or even management then you're familiar with a topic that always comes up.  Why do change agents fail so often?  The answer is simplicity itself.  Change Agents fail because they push change so rapidly that the entity in question never adopts to the change.  Often you'll have buy in from leadership but those at the top never take the time to get buy in from the rank and file.  That's why the question from the Infantry Captain is so important.  Leadership is not properly assessing how these "changes" are being assessed by the people that they need to "buy in".  These concepts....these "new ways" of doing business will fail dramatically and it'll be for two reasons.  First they sound great in the classroom but in those settings everything works right (like the F-35) and second, the enemy gets a vote and will easily defeat an air centric Marine Corps.  HQMC is doing what no enemy ever has.  They're defeating the Marine Corps before it has even set foot on the battlefield.

Janes does an analysis of Russia's revolutionary new armored vehicles....


Read it here.  Note.  I've heard many people try and discount what we're seeing here but make no mistake.  The Russians have caught up and passed the West when it comes to armored vehicle design.  What should make everyone pause is the fact that we're seeing a family of vehicles approach....and the understanding that their legacy vehicles can mount the new turrets (for their IFVs and APCs) bringing even more cost savings to their fleet.

Friday, May 15, 2015

US Army Human Terrain Team Handbook



Also of interest?

Check out the US Army's Human Terrain website (here).  Now consider.  The website is totally geared toward the conflict in Afghanistan but since that effort is winding down how will it be employed in the future?

I've dug thru the site, done a bit of reading on the "human terrain" philosophy and have come to the conclusion that this is just another freaking re-branding exercise.

This is Psy-Ops by another name with a few added subjects like social media.  We have leadership acting as if they reinvented the wheel when all they did was give us "new Coke".

Jade Helm 15 and the Minerva Initiative...

via Modern Survival Blog.
Many of you have likely read or heard about the upcoming JADE HELM 15 military training exercise to take place on US soil during this summer. Many believe that this training is specifically geared and aligned towards upcoming civil breakdown here in the United States.
That said, how many of you have heard of the ‘Minerva Research Initiative’? It seems there may be a tie-in between this initiative (which was instated following the 2008 ‘crash’) and the agenda of JADE HELM 15.
Here’s why …
The premise behind the Minerva Research Initiative is apparently this: study how violent political overthrow, aka mass civil breakdown, happens in the day and age of social networks, and be prepared to counteract it – by “targeting peaceful activities and protest movements” – when it finally reaches US shores.
This actually seems plausible.

I had forgotten about the Minerva Research Initiative, but if MSB is right then we're already part of the wargame.  We can probably deduce that since 2008 they've become VERY aware of the role of social media in shaping opinion.

IF (and this is a big if) the idea of "people alarmed" by Jade Helm 15 is part of the exercise (designated as hostile forces)...and IF developing ways of shaping the "human terrain" to believing that their is nothing dastardly going on....then we've already played a huge role in their research...just by playing our roles..

My main focus has been on why SOCOM needs to operate in civilian areas and I've been beyond skeptical about the rationale being that they need to go off base to get the best training possible for upcoming deployments on foreign soil...but this puts it in a different light.

What is Jade Helm 15?  I still don't know but it does deserve additional scrutiny.  Something is screwy with this thing but I can't put my finger on it.

Quote of the month...maybe decade....

"Islam was never a religion of peace. Islam is the religion of fighting. No-one should believe that the war that we are waging is the war of the Islamic State. It is the war of all Muslims, but the Islamic State is spearheading it. It is the war of Muslims against infidels."
Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, Leader of ISIS.

Polycase Inceptor ARX...is this the self defense round we've been looking for?

1st Battalion The Royal Irish Regiment training on the Salisbury Plain

Soldiers from The 1st Battalion The Royal Irish Regiment have been fine tuning tactics and skills on Salisbury plain as the first new Light Mechanized Battalion.
The Battalion has been using Foxhound and Husky vehicles across a range of challenging manoeuvres aimed at sharpening their fighting skills.
Commanding Officer, Lieutenant Colonel Graham Shannon, said: “This is a new role for the Battalion and it is testing soldiers across the board. These vehicles provide a mobile and agile fighting edge… we are at the forefront of developing this concept.”
The training has certainly tested the soldiers. Ranger Colin Gribben said: “I’ve been trained to drive these vehicles but this is the first chance we’ve had to really get to grips with them.” Speaking more generally he said: “We have lots to do to both maintain the vehicles and keep fit so we can deliver a big punch to the enemy.” He added: “The training we’ve had has been really good and I feel confident.”
The Royal Irish will deploy to both Germany and Spain this year prior to taking its place among the UK’s high readiness units able to deploy globally at short notice.



Marines in Nepal helicopter crash likely dead.

via Marines.com
Efforts underway to recover the six Marines and two Nepalese soldiers who were aboard the missing UH-1Y Huey that was located Friday in Nepal.

"We are deeply saddened by the discovery of this wreckage and we will remain dedicated to the recovery effort until every last Marine and Nepalese soldier is brought home. While we mourn the tragic passing of our service members and of the Nepalese Army, we recognize that the Nepalese people have suffered a loss of thousands of their own citizens. We will continue to stand with Nepal."
— Lt. Gen. John Wissler, JTF 505 commander and III Marine Expeditionary Force/Marine Corps Installations Pacific commanding general
I don't know the issues with this tragedy.  I do know that the Marines involved were attempting to aid their fellow man so they are to be applauded.

What needs to be questioned however is the operating concept that these Marines were put into.  SPMAGTF-CR's are vulnerable.  Switch this from being a humanitarian assistance/disaster relief mission into a limited combat op.

How would a SPMAGTF-CR deal with the loss of one of its helicopters?

It should be obvious to all that these units are too light to fight, have numerous points of failure and is a seriously flawed idea.

You want Marines back aboard irregular ships?  Let's go back to Marine Detachments.

You want to send Marines into combat?  Send them via Marine Expeditionary Units....anything lighter is a mistake.

Thursday, May 14, 2015

Polaris Defense Dagor video.

Corporate Spotlight. Concern Tractor Plants.






You ever wondered where the Sprut-D and BMP-3F Marine Fighting Vehicle come from?  Well let me introduce you to the Concern Tractor Plants and their subsidiaries.  The website is very informative (well as far as corporate sites are concerned) and with upgrades to certain vehicles coming down the line well worth it.  Check them out here, here and here.

Missing Marine Corps Helicopter in Nepal should give Distributed/Disaggregated Ops proponents pause.


via Marine Times
More than 24 hours after a Marine helicopter disappeared in flight over Nepal, a search and rescue effort has found no sign of the missing aircraft and its crew of six U.S. Marines and two Nepalese soldiers, a Pentagon official said Wednesday.
"The search continues," Army Col. Steve Warren, a Defense Department spokesman, told reporters at the Pentagon Wednesday morning.
The latest official update dashed hopes raised by an earlier report Wednesday morning from the Deutsche Presse Agentur news agency, which suggested that officials had determined the helicopter's location.
"There are a lot of reports floating around, none are attributed to anyone and most have been investigated by DoD and determined to be fake," Army Maj. David Eastburn, a spokesman for U.S. Pacific Command, said in an email to Military Times on Wednesday.
Special Operations operate small units that have HUGE support infrastructure.  The idea that the USMC should operate small units and purposefully disassemble their support infrastructure has always struck me as misguided.

And now we have a helicopter from Joint Task Force 505 missing in Nepal.

The issues with Distributed/Disaggregated Ops should be obvious to everyone now.  Lets say you disaggregate the 15th MEU and the USS Pvt Schmucatelli gets assigned an embassy reinforcement mission.  The Company Landing Team launches on 4 MV-22's at distance...we're talking about say 500 miles out.

One of the birds goes down halfway there in the middle of the sea.

Does the mission continue or do you divert to start rescue ops?

What happens if that so called benign embassy reinforcement turns hot and now you're dealing with evacuating personnel under fire?

Distributed/Disaggregated Ops is a playtoy of the Think Tanks.  I would expect Marine Corps leadership to properly plan for worse case scenarios instead of basing our operating concepts on  best case mixed with what they call "operational risk"!

If nothing else the loss of the helicopter in Nepal should give leadership pause.