Saturday, May 04, 2019

China Can’t Execute Major Amphibious Operations, Direct Assault on Taiwan


via USNI News.
The Chinese military is reorganizing its land forces, but its moves do not increase its ability to mount a large-scale beach assault across the Taiwan Strait, according to a new Department of Defense report.

Taiwan is the primary focus of amphibious assault and sea-based missile launch capability improvements made in 2018 by China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA), the PLA Navy and PLA Marine Corps, according to the Pentagon’s Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China.

“Taiwan persistently remains the PLA’s main ‘strategic direction,’ one of the geographic areas the leadership identifies as having strategic importance,” the report states.

The Chinese communist party seeks to diplomatically isolate Taiwan by stripping it of its diplomatic allies, by meddling in democratic elections and by applying economic pressure through redirecting tourism and financial development away from the island, Randall Shriver, assistant secretary of Defense for Indo-Pacific Affairs, said during a Friday media briefing about the report.

“China has never renounced the use of military force and continues to conduct military exercises,” Shriver said.

However, China does not appear to be currently investing in the equipment likely required for a direct assault on Taiwan, such as large amphibious assault ships and medium landing craft necessary for a large beach assault, according to the report. The bulk of China’s recently created marine corps forces currently lack proper equipment or operational training.
Story here.

Wow.

A couple of things.

How is China NOT investing in large amphibious assault ships?  Do they not know about the LHD they're building?  Do they not know about the LPD that's almost equivalent of the San Antonio Class?

Type 075

Type 071

Additionally why are they focused solely on an amphibious assault?  Have they not heard of joint operations?

Chinese Airborne and Marine Forces could basically chop that country into bite sized pieces for a follow on effort by the Chinese Army!

I guess my point is that this report is lacking.

Taiwan is endangered NOW, not in the future.  For all practical purposes we lost this decades ago when we failed to support that country.  Consider Taiwan the new Hong Kong.  It's not a matter of if but when.  Taiwan will revert to Chinese mainland control.

That's the reality.

All we're doing is waiting on China to do the deed.

Trump's instincts on Venezuela is spot on...unfortunately he's surrounded by Neo-Cons that want war....

via CNN
After US expectations were dashed this week for a transition of power in Venezuela, President Donald Trump is urging caution among senior advisers moving forward and expressing frustration that some aides are more openly teasing military intervention, according to officials familiar with the matter.

After a phone call with President Vladimir Putin on Friday, Trump also downplayed Russia's involvement in Venezuela, contradicting claims from top Trump administration officials that Moscow continues to prop up the regime there.

It amounted to, at times, a picture of a President at odds with the officials who this week have called vociferously for a change in power in Caracas and have consistently declined to rule out a US military intervention.
----------

 But Trump, who has until now given Bolton wide leeway to manage the situation in Venezuela, appeared more cautious this week, privately expressing concern over how solid Guaido's plans are to take power and win support from Venezuela's military.
Story here. 

Trump's instincts are serving him well.  I just wonder how long he'll be able to hold out against the drumbeat for US action in that country.

If you've been monitoring this issue then you know that Brazil's President has expressed caution too and has stated that the call for change was a bit premature.

What we don't know is if the opposition leader was told by elements of our govt that now was the time to act.

I can't help but wonder if we have individuals pushing agendas and setting the conditions so that we have no choice but to intervene.

Look for some outrageous act this weekend or early next week.  If we see a made for TV moment of something horrific then take a step back.  The entire country (US) might be getting played by murky figures in the background.

Armor Porn....T-80BVM

Thanks to S300V4 for the pics!




Gonna ask again.  How do you tell the difference at a glance between the T-90, T-80 and T-72?

I'm tempted to give writing the armor schoolhouses to get their tips and tricks on the thing.

Why is this important to me?

Because they assign certain tanks to certain forces and it would help identify which Russian unit is where.

Does anyone have a tip or trick they can toss my way for identification?

Open Comment Post. 4 May 2019.

Quick explanation of this pic.  According to the photographer the wild dogs took down an antelope and the hyenas came in to try and steal it.  A fight ensued and the wild dogs were able to repulse the hyenas attack.  In the confusion the hyena attacked the wild dog pup and they made off with it and devoured it.  Nature is brutal.

We deal in truth on this blog...truth ain't pretty but its the reality of things....

I a comment on a blog post here.  It concerned what I considered ominous signs of an impending US action in Venezuela.  While I had several readers walk me back from the ledge on the implications of the FAA banning flights over that country, one guy in particular decided that I was sending dog whistles.  Below is my statement...
Ok.

We don't have visibility but I'd bet a few command elements from the 2nd MARDIV and 82nd Airborne are working this weekend awaiting a preparatory order to get ready for action.

If you're in one of those units and probably a couple others, you better drink, fuck and get stupid this weekend.

It might be your last for awhile.
That statement ain't pretty at all is it?  Kinda morbid and gross?  Well you can bet if those units are getting warning orders then that's exactly whats going on!

The reader in question made this accusation...
 Unapologetic Hero • 

"If you're in one of those units and probably a couple others, you better drink, fuck and get stupid this weekend."

Ugh, cancerous comment.
I really don't see the cancer in that statement I made.  Luckily another bubba (long time reader...thanks guy!) told him the facts of the thing but he still persisted and replied with this...

Unapologetic Hero  

I'm responding to the bitch-made dog-whistle of "Let's get out boys feeling refreshed so that they can go attack another country." I'm done.
This guy obviously hasn't been within 200 miles of a Marine or Army base that's about to head out to do the hard thing. 

I'm not even pissed but a bit miffed and frustrated.

Human nature is human nature.  You can't modify it to fit a cute picture of what you would like it to be.  Additionally male behavior is a constant and hasn't changed for hundreds of years.

The moral of this story?

We deal in truth on this blog.  Truth ain't pretty but its the reality of things. Hopefully (assuming the guy stays...don't care either way) he gets that but if he can't there are more "polite" blogs out there that will fit his worldview.

Exasperated, miffed and frustrated rant over! 

1st Cavalry Division "BlackJack Troopers"




Friday, May 03, 2019

FAA bans all US flights from Venezuelan airspace...This is ominous....




Ok.

We don't have visibility but I'd bet a few command elements from the 2nd MARDIV and 82nd Airborne are working this weekend awaiting a preparatory order to get ready for action.

If you're in one of those units and probably a couple others, you better drink, fuck and get stupid this weekend.

It might be your last for awhile.

MD 969 Combat Helicopter

Is this a repeat?  Sorry if it is but this is a neat little helicopter!

Turkish Company OTOKAR wheeled and tracked armored vehicles Tulpar Light Tank 105mm cannon

The Fastest Plane in the World via US National Reconnaissance Office

Open Comment Post. 03 May 2019


Thursday, May 02, 2019

CAPE director tells HASC that DOD does not view F-35A flying hour cost target of $25,000 by 2025 as achievable --




Quick side issue.

These lady defense journalists are kicking ass lately.  Firs the chic over at Shepard Media doing the hard thing covering armor (don't know why they didn't send her to IDEX 19, but their coverage of it is lacking because she's not there) and now this lady comes out of nowhere with this news.

Just plain wow.  Impressive and well done ladies!

Back to this.

Projections that are NOT achievable.  Well I guess that's improvement.  We've gone from lies that are easily proved after the fact to deception that they admit to before the event.  

The next question becomes this.

How many other projections aren't achievable?  How many other projections are they hanging their hats on to the public that they know will fail?

Can you imagine the discussions happening in Singapore right now?  Uh Sir, you know how you promised to evaluate the F-35 and buy it from the Americans?  Well Sir that plane is a piece of shit!  That's the honest assessment, now do you want us to waste money or buy a cost effective fighter that will defend our city state?

What about the UK?  Hey Sir, the Royal Air Force is demanding more money cause the F-35 is going to cost a mint.  The Royal Navy is saying the same.  The British Army is threatening to storm Parliment because they've been bled dry and we have soldiers shouting bang on exercise because we can't afford blanks.  Are you sure you want to buy the entire 138 we promised the Americans?

Finally in Turkey.  Hey Erdogan, Sir.  The Americans are still threatening to NOT sell us the F-35.  I think we should fuss a bit but thank Allah that we aren't getting that bird!

Advanced Armor Protection

1ABCT, 3ID Soldiers provide feedback for JLTV improvements....pics by Maj. Peter Bogart

A split screen view highlights the improved visibility for drivers and truck commanders while negotiating steep hills during testing at Fort Stewart, Ga. 1st Armored Brigade Combat Team, 3rd Infantry Division Soldiers spent several days testing and giving feedback on four new features to the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV) as part of the “Big 4” Soldier Touchpoint Event.

One of the features that is now standard on JLTVs is a 250% larger rear window. The vehicle on top has the new window and was used during testing at Fort Stewart, Ga. 1st Armored Brigade Combat Team, 3rd Infantry Division Soldiers spent several days testing and giving feedback on four new features to the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV) as part of the “Big 4” Soldier Touchpoint Event.

A Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV) with the troop seat kit installed during testing at Fort Stewart, Ga. 1st Armored Brigade Combat Team, 3rd Infantry Division Soldiers spent several days testing and giving feedback on four new features to the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV) as part of the “Big 4” Soldier Touchpoint Event.

Chinese T-Rays Radar...is this their anti-stealth ace in the hole?

Thanks to Christopher for the link!

via SCMP
The report said the new device could generate stable, continuous radiation at an average level up to 18 watts, and terahertz pulses with peak power close to one megawatt, on par with some military radars.
A technical executive at a vendor in China for T-ray devices used in F-35 manufacturing said the reported power levels of the device were “more than a million times higher than the power of the T-ray device used to measure the thickness of coatings on the F-35”.
“The radar-absorbent coatings on the F-35 will look as thin and transparent as stockings if [the Chinese instrument] is as powerful as they claim,” the executive said.
Story here. 

Read the entire article! 

Just plain wow.  You can pretty much stick a fork in stealth.  The game is gonna be in the electronic warfare realm.  Wanted to know why the J-20 wasn't built to be fully stealth?  I think we have our answer!  The Chinese know that stealth is of limited benefit.

Quite honestly I think that certain aspects of that plane (like internal carriage of weapons) isn't about stealth but more about range and lack of drag.

But back on task.

One thing we can be sure of.

The Chinese are following several different avenues in their efforts to build stealth detecting gear.  Whether they succeed with one system or several isn't relevant.  What matters is that they're banging on this problem hard and we MUST assume that they'll crack the code.

AW101

Biden on China...




And with that one statement he just lost my vote...

Have the Chinese been able to track our stealth jets since 2013???

Thanks to Fonck for the link!




Google translate might be needed but this guy is claiming that they were able to track the F-22 back in 2013.

Is this propaganda or real?



F-35 News. Did a pilot let something slip when talking about 6th gen fighter?


via USNI News.
Lockheed Martin officials provided the media a view of electronic warfare in the near future during a media briefing Wednesday. The High Energy Laser and Integrated Optical-dazzler and Surveillance (HELIOS) system is at the core of Lockheed Martin’s electronic warfare work.

The company expects to field a ship-based HELIOS system aboard an Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer in 2021. However, technological advances are helping the company shrink the size of HELIOS from what is due for installation aboard a ship to what can possibly fit onto an airframe, said Tony Wilson, a Lockheed Martin F-35 test pilot.

“Being a tactical pilot in today’s age is really exciting. During my time, I’ve seen the leap from fourth-generation to fifth-generation, with the integration of stealth and sensor fusion,” Wilson said. “What I’m really looking forward to is the next generation leap. That’s a sixth-gen fighter, where we not only take stealth and sensor integration, but we start adding things like directed energy weapons, drone swarm control.”

For Lockheed Martin, their HELIOS pitch to the military includes how the system offers an infinite magazine, is powered by the ship’s existing power-generation system, is a precision low-cost-per-kill weapon and will be integrated with the Aegis Combat System, said Brendan Scanlon, Lockheed Martin’s HELIOS program director.

“From a fighter’s perspective, we always want more gas, more weapons,” Wilson said.

Meanwhile, Lockheed Martin experts are taking a close look at how adversaries conduct electronic warfare, with the intent of developing capabilities to be shared by the service branches and used on various platforms, said Steve Allen, Lockheed Martin’s Information Operations and Solutions Director.
Story here. 

People that are trying to reason with me always say...stay in your lane...you're a ground guy...you don't know shit about aviation.

Well that's true.  Right as rain.  Spot on.

But instinct is a motherfucker.

So is having people that can give you insight into things if you can muster the discipline (and I've failed at times) to shut up, listen, and put away preconceived notions/biases.

There is one other thing.

You have to gather the courage to look at things as they are, not as you wish them to be.

What's that got to do with the article?  Read the whole thing but check out the highlighted portion.
“What I’m really looking forward to is the next generation leap. That’s a sixth-gen fighter, where we not only take stealth and sensor integration, but we start adding things like directed energy weapons, drone swarm control.”
What?

We're already looking at drone swarm control with unfortunately for us but at the same time fantastic cause they're an ally, Australia leading the way with their wing man concept.  Oh and that is being controlled by a Super Hornet! As far as lasers?  That's air frame agnostic as long as they can make one that works fit into an airplane.

But it gets better and I think he tells us a bit about where the F-35 is now.
“From a fighter’s perspective, we always want more gas, more weapons,” Wilson said.
I want to take you all back to the so called F-35 "beast mode" setup.  Check it out below.


What you see above is the beast mode configuration that has the F-35 fanboys drooling.  Do you notice something?  They put out hundreds of pics but the basic load out are those bombs (I don't know the size), Sidewinders on outer pylons and I assume two AMRAAMs and another two bombs in the bay.

That's hardly formidable.  That's really a weak load out for an airplane that is already in service with 3 services and our allies. 

Real question.  What ordnance can the F-35 carry today?  Has anything else been cleared except for these weapons?  If not then the variety of weapons this plane can carry is PATHETICALLY small.

Even worse?  It won't be cleared for more weapons till about 2024 if I'm reading the Block 4 upgrade chart correctly.  This went from pathetic to criminal.

Then we have the last quote I highlighted.
Meanwhile, Lockheed Martin experts are taking a close look at how adversaries conduct electronic warfare
This my friends.  This is where my instinct took me and this is where I'm chest thumping and shouting to the sky that I was right.

Electronic warfare is the domain that must be won and will be the mother's milk of the future fight.

Lockheed Martin ain't digging into this because they're altruistic.  They're going here because they're greedy bastards.  This is where the money is with regard to future procurement.

But it's beyond telling.

Stealth isn't the end all be all anymore.  It really hasn't been for the longest but most weren't paying attention.  The F-35 talking points told us alot but people chose not to see.

They talked about stealth and only stealth at the beginning of the program.  Then reports came out that systems were being designed to detect stealth. We heard rumblings about the Russians being able to detect the F-35, then we heard about Saab with their GaN AESA that could spot it, then Raytheon and now the Chinese and others are into the game.

Today?

The talking points are all over the place.  The messaging on the F-35 has become confused.

I'm good with that.  Lies are hard to keep track of so it makes sense to me. What can't be denied is that if you look hard enough you can see that military leadership and even LM are beginning to tell us that we need to get started on a 6th gen fighter cause the F-35 just won't cut it.


German and Canadian Soldiers train in a Quick Reaction Force exercise in the Savannah Malis.