Wednesday, June 19, 2019

F-35 News. Lockheed Martin claims it will lower operating costs....my thought..FAT CHANCE!


via Breaking Defense.
While it is true — and impressive — that the F-35A has come down below $80 million in Lot 13, the program has had much greater difficulty lowering operating and maintenance costs. Part of the problem is the acknowledged mess of ALIS, the hugely complex and often ineffective planning and maintenance software system designed for the plane. The Air Force is pressing hard to break ALIS down into a series of apps that can be easily upgraded and provide faster and more accurate planning and maintenance, with Air Force acquisition head Will Roper personally pressing hard for change.
Story here.

A little chest thumping first.

I told you that the fight wasn't about the cost of the airplane!  Anytime the opposition stresses an issue then you KNOW its gonna be solved. 

The cost of operating the thing.  That is the true flex point and one that I don't think will be easily resolved.  It's not simply a matter of supply chain as many would have you believe.

This is a basic matter of economics.

Lockheed Martin is basing their future defense PROFITS on the F-35 not only being bought but on them maintaining it for the next 50 years.

That alone tells you that at least on their side they're looking at the actual sale of the plane being a LOSS LEADER.  They might get to a point where the sell the plane at cost but will make up with it by profiting off the maintenance portion of the thing.

That alone is why talk of lowering operating costs is such an issue. 

That is why they're fighting so hard to deny the Pentagon access to ALIS and to give auditors any insight to the parts inventory/usage charts.

That's where their profits will be in the future and that's what they will protect till their dying breath...and why operating costs will be high for the life of this program.

The only economic part of this thing that you need to remember is this.  They can sell the F-35 at a loss and still profit from maintenance.

Sad but that's just a fact.

Open Comment Post. 19 June 2019

Famous Starships Poster Series - Created by Jungle Cyborg

Each design is available for sale as a print or canvas at The Pixel Empire shop.  (note I used his pics so I had to include his caption...just roll with it guys...and if you want a poster of this then hit him up!)









Marine Corps Captain claims the ACV is the wrong vehicle for Marine Operating Concepts....he's wrong, a myopic focus on forcible entry is his critical point of failure, not the vehicle...


via USNI Mag.
The amphibious assault vehicle (AAV) is more than 40 years old and has been rendered obsolete on the modern battlefield through the advancement of technology and doctrine. The amphibious combat vehicle (ACV) was recently declared the AAV’s successor. By selecting the ACV to replace the AAV, however, the Marine Corps is recklessly disregarding the “key drivers of change” identified in the MOC, in particular, the “increasingly contested maritime domain.”

The latest MOC recognizes that naval power projection ashore now faces serious opposition, particularly from sophisticated long-range missiles. Specifications for the new ACV are no better than the AAV’s—neither can operate independent of naval support in an antiaccess/area-denial, over-the-horizon environment because of their inability to achieve high water speed (HWS) of greater than eight knots and lack of range. Wheeled and tracked amphibious vehicles have, thus far, been unable to achieve the HWS and range necessary to conduct amphibious operations on the modern battlefield. To fight and win in the contested maritime domain the Marine Corps must insist on a modern, long-range, HWS-capable landing craft to serve as the ship-to-shore connector capable of executing the expeditionary advanced base operations (EABO) called for in the MOC.
Story here. 

This is what I miss about the Marine Corps I grew up in.  I could read the professional mags of the sea services and get REAL debates about how/why/when we conduct operations and what leaders would think about the future.

In that I applaud USNI Mag.

This shit is real.  I'm thrilled to finally getting some meaty discussions again and NOT a bunch of nonsense written by Midshipmen or Lt's just hitting the fleet raging about social issue this or why the fuck do we do parades that.

But back on task.

While I'm thrilled by the Captain's article I think he's illustrating a frustration that I have.

Current Marine Corps Operating Concepts focus on one thing to the exclusion of almost everything else.

Forcible entry.

You say good?  You say that should be the focus?  I say you're ignoring a critical part of the fight.

What happens after you're established ashore?  That's where the ACV will shine...and that's my irritation point with the article.

The Captain points out several raw points with the ACV.  Mainly the lack of water speed.  I get it.  But If we do as the Operating Concept calls for then we're gonna leap frog those enemy strong points.  We will be launching MV-22s from far off shore.  CH-53Ks will be bringing in supplies to help those rifle companies assault key positions that would hinder our surface landing force.

In essence we've kinda flipped the script. 

The ACV will land in the Follow On Echelon with M1A1 Abrams or they will land where we've determined the enemy isn't in coordination with helo-borne forces in the initial assault..

Additionally we can land helo-borne forces to carry out attacks on key installations but we will eventually have to close with and destroy that peer threat.  If they can threaten our landing to the extent that the Captain fears then they will also be backed up with heavy mech forces, probably superb infantry and credible enough airpower that we will need to have an equally if not superiorly equipped force to deal with them.

It would seem (in my opinion) that the failure here isn't how the Marine Corps will get ashore.

Planners are working that problem to death.

The issue is what happens once we're on land and facing threat forces that are more lethal than ever and what will we do to meet that threat.

The ACV is part of the solution to that problem.  Upgrading the Abrams, refurbishing the MTVR, getting the HIMARS the latest and greatest missiles, seeing the JLTV properly deployed/equipped, getting anti-ship missiles and other initiatives will aid that.

Properly fund the Ground Combat Element to make it viable in the 21st century is essential.  That should be the take away from this article, not a problem with the ACV or the reasoning behind it.

Tuesday, June 18, 2019

Does anyone remember that the "vaunted" Boxer IFV/APC is an almost 20 year old design?

Scrolling thru my Twitter feeds and ran across my bud Nicholas Drummond as usual he's a must read.  This one today has me spinning....




Nicholas and my bro Odgen love the Boxer.

I'm not as big a fan.  I think that "modularity" that is a hallmark of the vehicle is just a gimmick that has no real tactical value and probably adds unnecessary weight and a small bit of complexity that is unneeded.

Having said that there is one other thing.

The damn design is almost 20 years old now!

History of the BOXER

1990
  • Major European armed forces need vehicles to face future threats.
1994
  • Germany and France establish joint procurement and development study.
1995
  • German, British and French governments work in close cooperation.
1996
  • Competition between two Franco-German-British consortia.
  • Competing consortium TEAM International GTK/MRAV/VBCI.
  • Establishment of ARGE GTK/MRAV/VBCI.
  • Concept studies of a 6x6 and a 8x8 vehicle.
1997
  • April - ARGE submitts offer to German Procurement Agency (BWB).
  • The Netherlands get the status of an observer of the Programme.
1998
  • April - ARGE GTK wins the competition.
1999
  • September - France leaves the Programme.
  • Foundation of ARTEC.
  • November - bilateral contract signature.
2000
  • The European agency OCCAR (Organisation Conjointe de Cooperátion en matierè d'ARmament) gets customer for ARTEC.
2001
  • February - The Netherlands become a full partner in the Programme.
  • Production start of 1st BOXER Prototype.
2002
  • December - Rollout of the first German BOXER Prototype.
2003
  • BOXER Prototype - ready for trials and tests.
  • July - UK MOD announces withdrawal from the Programme.
2004
  • November - Germany and the Netherlands sign bilateral contract.
2006
  • Modified Armoured Personnel Carrier GE and Ambulance NL are presented at Eurosartory, Paris.
  • December - Series Contract Signature.
2007
  • Production start for 1st Ambulance GE Prototype.
2008
  • Reliability Growth Trails after some 90,000 km successful finished.
  • Production starts for 1st Series Vehicle.
2009
  • September - Rollout of the first BOXER Series Vehicle.
2010
  • BOXER vehicles are trialled in Australia and the United Arab Emirates.
  • December - First German BOXER Command Post delivered.
2011
  • May - BOXER in operational use by German Army.
  • June - Last German Driver Training Vehicle delivered.
  • August - Deployment of first BOXERs into theatre.
  • August - All four German BOXER versions in series delivery.
2012
  • Deployment of BOXER Command Post Vehicle and Ambulance into theatre.
  • December - Last German Commanc Post Vehicle delivered.
2013
  • August - Delivery of first BOXER Driver Training Vehicle to Netherlands Army.
2014
  • April - Delivery of first BOXER Ambulance to Netherlands Army.
2015
  • June - 300th BOXER vehicle delivered.
  • July - Delivery of first BOXER Command Post to Netherlands Army.
  • December - Contract signature for 2nd batch of 131 BOXER APC vehicles for German Army.
2016
  • March - First BOXER Cargo delivered to Netherlands Army.
  • May - Delivery of last BOXER Ambulance (272nd vehicle) to German Army.
  • August - Trilateral contract signature. Lithuania joins the BOXER-Programme.
  • August - Contract signature for 88 BOXER IFV for Lithuanian Army.
2018
  • February - The Government of the Republic of Slovenia announces that they intend to accession the BOXER-Programme.
  • March - British Ministry of Defence announces that they will re-join BOXER-Programm and explore options to equip the Army with BOXER.
  • March - BOXER is selected after competition for the Australian Army under Project Land 400 Phase 2.

Yeah that's right boys and girls. If this thing was a child it's almost old enough to buy alcohol in all 50 states.

But the UK Army has an even bigger question to answer.

How does it compare to the latest offerings we're seeing.  The KF-41 Lynx, the S. Korean Redback and the Singapore Hunter IFV?

If you sit back a second and take a look at the landscape you'll see that the UK labored hard and ended buying last years model.

That's not to say that it isn't good but you have to wonder how the Aussies were able to get manufacturers to come up with new designs for their program and the Brits were left with older but modernized versions of vehicles that have been in service for decades already.

Pentagon Sends 1,000 More Troops to Middle East as Iran Tensions Heighten....WHY ARE WE WEARING OUT THE FORCE ON THIS ISSUE!

via Military.com
The Pentagon released more photos late Monday to back up charges that Iran carried out an attack on two tankers in the Gulf last week. The images included one still purporting to show Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps members in a twin outboard shortly after they allegedly removed an unexploded mine from the side of a tanker.

Shortly after the photos were released, Acting Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan announced that an additional 1,000 U.S. troops were being sent to the region to join a buildup of forces that now includes the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln's strike group and B-52 Stratofortresses.

"In response to a request from the U.S. Central Command for additional forces, and with the advice of the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and in consultation with the White House, I have authorized approximately 1,000 additional troops for defensive purposes to address air, naval, and ground-based threats in the Middle East," Shanahan said in the statement.
Story here. 

A few things....

*  Tear down the Combatant Commander structure.  Ever since those became a "thing" we've seen increased troop deployments for dubious reasons.

*  We are wearing out the force with activity like this.  What real purpose will one thousand extra troops serve in that region?  Force protection is all I can think of, they certainly won't be staging an assault with numbers that low and once you consider the locale you realize that if FP hasn't already been accounted for then someone should be fired.

*  Why is this our fight?

*  Even the Japanese (whose tankers were attacked), and the Europeans (with the exception of the UK) don't believe the intel is conclusive.

*  Why are we allowing certain segments of the administration to wag the dog when the vast majority of the American people don't want another war in the region?

*  Has anyone considered a strategy other than military force?  Where is the State Dept on this?  I know the jokes about them being advocates of other countries and not the US but diplomacy needs to make a comeback in US foreign policy!

THIS IS NOT OUR FIGHT!

Open Comment Post. 18 June 2019




BALTOPS 2019 Amphibious Operations USS Fort McHenry






BALTOPS 2019: NATO forces land in Lithuania

Singapore Hunter IFV makes a Leopard 2 EVO look almost medium sized!

Thanks to Bernard for the pic!


Take a good look at this pic.  Do you see the Hunter IFV peeking over the shoulder of the EVOs?  I don't know that vehicle's weight but its size is undeniable!  It's taller than the EVO...I would say considerably taller.  Additionally its hull would appear (at least in this pic) to be taller and wider than the EVO's too.

Only now do I get where the US Army was coming from when they were talking about an IFV that would weigh as much as a M1 Abrams (more if you're talking about the M1A1).

The need to fit troops and their gear...along with providing protection simply means you're moving toward a larger vehicle.  Add a turret to the mix and  unless your MBT is sized like the Merkava out the box then you'll be looking at a huge vehicle out of necessity.

Is this an evolutionary dead end? 

Is this just a simple fact of how vehicle development is going and we all should accept it?

I just don't know.  What I do know is that this is the trend today.  Will it survive combat?

Time will tell...

Alaska Army National Guard and the Republic of Fiji Military Forces @ Khaan Quest 2019, Mongolia....Video by Cpl. Ryan Siddell

BALTOPS 2019.....Video by Lance Cpl. Nello Miele

173rd Airborne conducts air assault @ Swift Response 19....

Monday, June 17, 2019

MBDA unveils its vision of Future Offensive/Defensive/Payload Missiles

Check out the press release here, but get a look-see at the pics below...

HARD KILL ANTI-MISSILE SYSTEM

MBDA FAS – Cruise Missiles MBDA

REMOTE CARRIER 100

REMOTE CARRIER 200

SMART CRUISER

SMART GLIDER 

SUBSONIC CRUISE

SUPERSONIC CRUISE

The Top Ten Battles of All Time......Battle # 8 Huai-Hai - Chinese Civil War, 1948

via HistoryPlace.com
Despite efforts by the United States to mediate an agreement, the Communists and Nationalists resumed their armed conflict soon after the conclusion of World War II. In contrast to their weaker position prior to the war, the Communists now were stronger than the Nationalists. On October 10, 1947, Mao called for the overthrow of the Nationalist administration.

Mao, a student of Washington, Napoleon, and Sun Tzu, began to push his army south into the Nationalist zone. Whereas the Nationalists often looted the cities they occupied and punished their residents, the Communists took little retribution, especially against towns that did not resist. Now the Communists steadily achieved victories over the Nationalists. During the summer of 1948, the Communists experienced a series of victories that pushed the major portion of the Nationalist army into a cross-shaped area extending from Nanking north to Tsinan and from Kaifeng east through Soochow to the sea.

Mao decided that it was time to achieve a total victory. On October 11, 1948, he issued orders for a methodical campaign to surround, separate, and destroy the half-million-man Nationalist army between the Huai River and the Lung Hai Railway--the locations that gave the resulting battle its name. Mao divided his battle plan into three phases, all of which his army accomplished more smoothly and efficiently than anticipated.
Story here. 

Lessons from this "war"?  Never leave a foe to escape that is all but defeated.  The Nationalist caused the Communist to go on a long deadly retreat.  They started with 100,000 troops, ended with 20,000 and the Nationalist didn't kill them off as a fighting force.

Never ravage a population.  The Communist treated captured populations properly but the nationalist didn't.  Of course that changed after they achieved victory but you get the idea.

Another lesson is that air power isn't enough.  You can own the skies but if you can't effectively employ that power then it will NOT win the war for you!

That's what I got from this quick little summary.  I'll want to read up on this fighting.  China's past might help prepare us for the future fight.

Third Gripen E test aircraft made its maiden flight in Linköping, Sweden




Pic of the day....56th Stryker Brigade Combat Team conduct a night live-fire @ Exercise Decisive Strike 2019, Macedonia...photo by Staff Sgt. Frances Ariele Tejada

Soldiers from Alpha Company, 1st Battalion, 111th Infantry, 56th Stryker Brigade Combat Team conduct a night live-fire iteration of a Combined Arms Live Fire Exercise during Exercise Decisive Strike 2019 at the Training Support Centre, Krivolak, North Macedonia, June 11, 2019. Combined training enables allies and partners to respond more effectively to regional crises and meet their own national defense goals. 

A primer on Turk-US relations via Ahval News.

via AN
Turkey has already invested over $1 billion in the F-35 and Mr. Erdoğan keeps talking about this. What will happen to that money? Is a refund possible?

That is a discussion that our leaders will have at some point in the future. For now, we are taking the necessary slow, measured steps to remove Turkey from the F-35 programme, and protect the long-term safety and security of the F-35, but the issues you mentioned are not fully fleshed out yet, as far as I’m aware. Look, as I said, we haven’t given up yet on working out a solution that works for both countries.

The time frame is very soon…

We gave the deadline as July 31, but if Turkey deploys the S-400 sooner, then we will accelerate the removal procedure. It is Turkey's call, really.

The United States is increasing its partnerships with Greece. Is this a move to replace Turkey?

I do not want to get that far ahead. We hosted the Greek Defence Minister last Friday. We have discussed some expanded troop presence in Greece, some expanded cooperation bilaterally – I’m not sure if it is anything to do with Turkey. We always look to deepen partnerships in the region, especially considering the increasing Russian presence there.

How do you view the People’s Protection Units (YPG)?

Our partners in Syria are the SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces), which includes some Kurdish forces. Look, we are working with Turkey to resolve that situation as much as we can. We need to stay focused on the fact that we’ve defeated ISIS territorially, but they still stay as a clear and present threat.

We are working to alleviate Turkey's concerns. We have heard their complaints at all levels. We have obviously partnered with some forces that Turkey has displayed its displeasure about.

Now, what we do to maintain our relationship, is we talk to Turkey very often. It is one of our closest allies.

Phenomenal daily contact with Turkey is being conducted in this building. Last time we had such a major crisis was after the coup attempt in 2016, and some again are asking, as they did then, if this is the end of Turkey-U.S. relations. The answer from both sides was an unequivocal "no". We have one of the strongest military-military relationships with Turkey, out of all our partners.

We continue intensive discussions with Turkey on a security mechanism to address their legitimate security concerns along the Turkey-Syria border.  These are bilateral discussions between the U.S. and Turkey. Our engagements to date have been positive and productive.
Ahval News did a great job in this far ranging interview with our Defense Spokesman.  They covered a number of important issues and highlighted many of the irritations that we have with the Turks and vice versa.

Can this relationship be repaired?  I'm really not sure.  I do believe its in no one's interest for this thing to turn sour but this is the hill that both sides decided was worth dying on.

Read the entire article here.

Open Comment Post. 17 June 2019

Avenue of the Baobabs...coolest trees I've never seen...





Spanish Marines aboard the San Juan Carlos I LHD participate in BALTOPS 19 .... pics by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Chris Roys








Chinese 73rd Army Group - 3rd Combined-Arms Battalion conducting exercise...via China Defense Blog