Sunday, January 09, 2022
B-29 Superfortresses from 500th BG, 73rd BW of 20th Air Force dropping incendiary bombs over Japan, 1945. Could the homeland withstand CONVENTIONAL unrestricted warfare?
Everyone (to include the Pentagon) seems to believe that a war with China will be "contained" to the units involved. If not that then they assume that it will escalate to a nuclear affair.
But why?
Why is the idea that we could see an escalation of a regional conflict into one where EACH SIDES homeland is attacked.
Many don't realize it but the incendiary bomb attack on Tokyo was more horrific than the atomic bomb. Many assumed that it wasn't an atomic weapon but instead that they had suffered another fire bombing.
Want to read some chilling stuff?
Read about what the British did to Dresden.
Fire Tornadoes. Whirlwinds of fire burning even concrete? Bodies burned beyond recognition and some to even a point that you couldn't even tell they were once human?
Fast forward to today and the ability of BOTH SIDES to have impacts on each others civilian population has escalated.
Everyone like to talk about cyber because its fashionable these days. I think Covid helps get the brain wrapped around a biological threat. We aren't even talking about chemical attacks yet.
Nightmare scenario?
China loads up a couple of cruise missile subs with thermobaric weapons and launches on Los Angeles with a focus on the business district/downtown.
Let's say they wait till o'dark thirty and hit Pendleton with Marines in their barracks and/or a few West Coast Naval Bases.
A war with China can turn horrible quick and that's before you get to nukes.
Sidenote. Understand that our response to this will be particularly vicious. That is to not be underestimated, however I believe that the Chinese will do much to save face. Including taking casualties that we would find shocking.
More from the Russian armor deployment by air...
7x BMD-2 and one KamAZ truck loaded on single An-124 Ruslan from Ivanovo to Kazakhstanhttps://t.co/sOrNbUvUJO pic.twitter.com/5zgPQPsbkw
— T-80BVM (@80bvm) January 9, 2022
Russians were able to deploy credible armor at distance. IMPRESSIVE.
I no longer believe the Marine Corps is actually in the "Quick Reaction"/"Force In Readiness" business.Same BMD-4M as above and one BTR-MDM pic.twitter.com/Wehn04Jdr6
— T-80BVM (@80bvm) January 9, 2022
I do believe that it's tilted full bore toward the "Stand In Force" concept (which precludes fighting anywhere but the Pacific).
What does that mean?
That means that its up to the US Army to put boots on the ground. That means that the 18th Airborne Corps is now America's "Force In Readiness" essential.
That also means they need to be able to do what the Russians have done.
They need to be able to deploy credible armor at distance.
Saturday, January 08, 2022
We gotta give CTSO credit. They appeared to settle the Kazakhstan issue really quick...
Forget the politics of this thing (I don't know them well enough to even comment...sorta like what's going on in Australia at the moment), we all have to agree that Russia/CTSO settled the issue in Kazakhstan really quick.
What has me spinning and leaders worldwide seem to be ignoring is how much unrest is being caused INSIDE THEIR OWN COUNTRIES for a wide variety of reasons...
* Covid responses...
* Economic issues...
* Inflation (I consider this separate from the economy for purposes of this list)
The list goes on with nation specific issues ahead. In the US I can name at least 3 or 4 more national issues that can turn into flashpoints.
In my opinion the world globbed onto the Chinese solution to deal with Covid.
In my opinion the Chinese solution only works for China.
But will western leadership glob onto the Russian solution for Kazakhstan to deal with future unrest. I'm looking hard at Europe and Australia because despite the news in the US, we're seeing protests there about mandates and restrictions.
Type 075 LHD (Images via wb/lejiahaozi)
Nice pics of Type 075 LHD
— 彩云香江 (@louischeung_hk) January 8, 2022
(Images via wb/lejiahaozi) pic.twitter.com/NmZwO0lmgc
A good day in Brazil turned terrible in a matter of seconds...
UPDATE: At least 5 dead, 9 seriously injured, and 20 missing after part of canyon collapses onto boats in southeast Brazil https://t.co/UJUkk5YZpo
— BNO News (@BNONews) January 8, 2022
17 Armoured Engineer Squadron and 11 Field Engineer Squadron from 1 Combat Engineer Regiment conducted breaching drills
17 Armoured Engineer Squadron and 11 Field Engineer Squadron from 1 Combat Engineer Regiment conducted breaching drills during Exercise ASCENDING SAPPER November 10, 2021, in Wainwright, Alberta. The drills were the final portion of the Armoured Engineer Operators Course.The course saw trainees complete a live Remote Weapon System range onboard Armoured Engineer Vehicles to test their proficiency on the robust platform. Upon completion of the range, that was held at 3rd Canadian Division Support Base Detachment Wainwright, students graduated to become newly qualified Armoured Engineer Operators, ready to provide mobility support to combined arms teams on the battlefield.Video: Cpl Djalma Vuong-De Ramos
Friday, January 07, 2022
Biden admin weighs offering Russia cuts to U.S. troops in Eastern Europe
via NBC News
The Biden administration is heading into next week’s talks with Russia still unsure whether Moscow is serious about negotiations, but if so U.S. officials are ready to propose discussions on scaling back U.S. and Russian troop deployments and military exercises in Eastern Europe, a current administration official and two former U.S. national security officials familiar with the planning told NBC News.
The discussions could potentially address the scope of military drills held by both powers, the number of U.S. troops stationed in the Baltic states and Poland, advance notice about the movement of forces, and Russia’s nuclear-capable Iskander missiles in the Russian territory of Kaliningrad between Poland and Lithuania, the sources said.
With tens of thousands of Russian troops massed on Ukraine’s border, the Biden administration is threatening unprecedented sanctions and other tough steps if Russia takes military action against Ukraine. But the administration is also exploring ways to defuse tensions with Russia as U.S. officials prepare for a series of high-stakes discussions with Moscow starting Monday.
The US/NATO have been running so many exercises all over that continent that its almost like we've adopted an almost never ending war footing.
Scaling back the number of exercises would be a great way to put Combatant Commanders back in their cages (since no SecDef wants to do it) and would allow proper maintenance of gear and equipment instead of wearing out not only that but also our people.
BUT.
At this point in time it would appear to be a major capitulation to the Russians. This will have to be carefully crafted.
The other but is the national security class.
They will scream and howl like no one's business. Politically it'll also be used by many sides to push agendas.
Domestic spending doves will call for cuts in defense spending since we've reached/are reaching for better relations with Russia, the previously mentioned hawks will complain...and finally staunch allies that we NEED to support (I'm a big fan of the Polish military) will wonder WTF.
I hope they tread carefully. Much opportunity here...much danger.
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